TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb97…5356

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+54.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$26.65
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$30.79
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.55
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+400%+$384
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$51
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$75.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Paula Badosa vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.38
Copa Colsanitas: Julia Riera vs Anna Blinkovabacked Julia Riera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$135
BNP Paribas Open: Diane Parry vs Venus Williamsbacked Venus Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Brasilia: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Miguel Tobonbacked Miguel Tobon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$122.96
Brasilia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tristan Boyerbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$334.03
Antalya 2: Adelina Lachinova vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Adelina Lachinova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.12
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Taylor Townsendbacked Joanna Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Brasilia: Jaime Faria vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+37%+$72.9
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$21.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$44.25
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42.42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+900%+$108
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+195.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+195.9%+$33.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+49.3%+$18.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.