Tennis · resolved market
Brasilia: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Miguel Tobon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf337a70abebec1c7c3ac43705f8e5fbc5700e6c18dbf642d43d417bdf999e33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carlos Sanchez Joverof Carlos Sanchez Jover, Miguel Tobon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 76c | 21,007$15,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.7 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Miguel Tobon | 36c | 20,164$7,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,334.68 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Miguel Tobon | 1c | 6,030$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Miguel Tobon | 7c | 4,463$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.67 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Miguel Tobon | 11c | 3,637$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 80c | 3,002$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.2 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Miguel Tobon | 32c | 2,165$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.39 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 72c | 1,542$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.48 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 68c | 1,437$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.11 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Miguel Tobon | 21c | 904$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Miguel Tobon | 42c | 864.91$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miguel Tobon | 23c | 745.2$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 63c | 716.19$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.8 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miguel Tobon | 29c | 566.06$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.82 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 62c | 482.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.42 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…5356backed Miguel Tobon | 26c | 479.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Miguel Tobon | 37c | 447.64$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.63 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Miguel Tobon | 24c | 445.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…d799backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 75c | 440$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Miguel Tobon | 25c | 386.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0e…bb40backed Miguel Tobon | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miguel Tobon | 40c | 357.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Miguel Tobon | 36c | 326.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Miguel Tobon | 10c | 267.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Miguel Tobon | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 56c | 256$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miguel Tobon | 39c | 240$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Miguel Tobon | 31c | 222.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 62c | 202.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Miguel Tobon | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Miguel Tobon | 34c | 167.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 61c | 159.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 79c | 141.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 77c | 115.64$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…b449backed Miguel Tobon | 43c | 111.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Miguel Tobon | 40c | 103.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Miguel Tobon | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Miguel Tobon | 30c | 99.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Miguel Tobon | 39c | 94.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 60c | 90.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 64c | 88.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfb…6dc1backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 66c | 69.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 76c | 62.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Miguel Tobon | 27c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Miguel Tobon | 27c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Miguel Tobon | 33c | 52.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…f937backed Miguel Tobon | 39c | 50.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 67c | 44.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 78 | 75.6%59 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed Miguel Tobon | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 80c | 35.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 74c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 63c | 28.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…dbeebacked Miguel Tobon | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc733…efe4backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 238 | 65.5%156 W · 82 L | +31.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brasilia: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Miguel Tobonthis page
- Jover vs. Tobon: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Jover vs TobonJover won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.