TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9548…1226

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT7875.6%59 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$8.98
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Eva Vedderbacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.22
Alicante: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ofner vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$18.65
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Alicante: Pedro Martinez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.23
Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondiolibacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Split: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Alexander Vasilevbacked Alexander Vasilev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$19.06
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$29.95
Alicante: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Naples: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Yokkaichi: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Yuta Shimizubacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Yokkaichi: Li Tu vs Rio Noguchibacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Morelia: Nicolas Mejia vs Andres Martinbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$23.45
Dubrovnik: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$24.51
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.19
Alicante: Edas Butvilas vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Naples: Federico Cina vs Francesco Fortibacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Miami Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
Dubrovnik: Petra Marcinko vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.22
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Spread: Celtics (-20.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$87.61
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.13
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$265.95
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$347.46
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.2
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$39.6
AD Ceuta FC vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$414.29
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Terriers vs. Navy Midshipmenbacked Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.99
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+223.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+223.9%+$111.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.