NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-20.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc26bb33bbcab925e550545e584e292e43d65bce9d8342fb6736c081219c898bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Celtics, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,014 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Wizards | 52c | 119,813$62,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,510.48 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Celtics | 48c | 41,400$19,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,872 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards | 51c | 40,580$20,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,884.22 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Wizards | 52c | 31,476$16,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,108.52 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards | 52c | 22,689$11,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,890.68 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 48c | 21,484$10,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,366.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Celtics | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Wizards | 51c | 20,183$10,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,867.68 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Celtics | 49c | 17,819$8,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,669 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 48c | 13,982$6,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,647.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Celtics | 48c | 12,555$6,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,026.48 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Celtics | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Celtics | 49c | 11,131$5,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,454 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 51c | 10,859$5,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.68 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Celtics | 48c | 10,270$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929.6 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Wizards | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.97 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Celtics | 48c | 8,256$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.88 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Celtics | 48c | 7,680$3,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,686.4 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Celtics | 49c | 6,812$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Celtics | 49c | 6,747$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics | 48c | 5,972$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.12 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Celtics | 48c | 5,699$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.64 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…7755backed Celtics | 48c | 5,625$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Celtics | 49c | 5,600$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Celtics | 48c | 5,533$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.84 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics | 48c | 5,310$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.89 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Wizards | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Celtics | 48c | 5,000$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Celtics | 48c | 4,896$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…a7fdbacked Celtics | 49c | 4,841$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…599fbacked Celtics | 49c | 4,816$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 47c | 4,436$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 53c | 4,068$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.72 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Celtics | 49c | 3,965$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Celtics | 51c | 3,952$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.99 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 49c | 3,890$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.37 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics | 48c | 3,479$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.75 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…1bc2backed Celtics | 48c | 3,313$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Celtics | 49c | 2,969$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.81 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 47c | 2,951$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.86 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Wizards | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.61 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Celtics | 48c | 2,676$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.4 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Celtics | 48c | 2,597$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.96 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wizards | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Celtics | 49c | 2,422$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.69 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Celtics | 56c | 2,114$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.55 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 51c | 2,100$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.52 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Celtics | 48c | 2,077$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Celtics | 65c | 2,032$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.89 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Wizards | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Wizards | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Wizards | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c0…23dfbacked Celtics | 49c | 1,950$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…158bbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,810$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 48c | 1,782$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…2633backed Wizards | 51c | 1,728$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,703$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.6 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Celtics | 49c | 1,667$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Celtics | 49c | 1,647$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30c…65efbacked Celtics | 49c | 1,588$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x836a…c634backed Celtics | 49c | 1,588$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Celtics | 48c | 1,507$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.52 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Wizards | 51c | 1,500$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Wizards | 52c | 1,497$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.78 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb7…db88backed Celtics | 49c | 1,399$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 43c | 1,383$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Wizards | 51c | 1,330$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.7 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.19 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…d490backed Wizards | 51c | 1,230$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…8a17backed Wizards | 51c | 1,226$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Celtics | 56c | 1,072$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Celtics | 49c | 961.49$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.2 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Celtics | 48c | 956.25$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Wizards | 53c | 944.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.8 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Wizards | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Celtics | 49c | 839.29$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.25 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics | 56c | 799.63$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Wizards | 53c | 799.53$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.78 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Wizards | 53c | 760.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.34 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 30c | 686.24$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.1 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…bcfdbacked Wizards | 51c | 677$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Celtics | 49c | 620$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Celtics | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670a…0fd7backed Wizards | 51c | 608$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Celtics | 48c | 604.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Wizards | 51c | 599.98$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Celtics | 51c | 593$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.68 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 37c | 566.93$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Wizards | 52c | 555.8$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.78 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Celtics | 62c | 529.99$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.8 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Celtics | 49c | 511.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed Celtics | 72c | 505.85$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Celtics | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Wizards | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Wizards | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 48c | 478.16$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.52 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…4246backed Celtics | 49c | 439$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-20.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-19.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-25.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-26.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-28.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Wizards vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.