NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x651f83b26cec5a4dcabdfba30f1f9b4cecfd96a586998b217b97015a3308a03f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,144 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 57c | 7,200$4,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,103.77 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 5,628$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 2,595$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 2,210$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.06 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 34c | 1,619$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.45 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 64c | 1,559$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 57c | 1,250$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 865$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.8 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 840$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 40c | 836.18$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 833.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.53 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 766.5$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.91 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 765.3$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.81 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 57c | 749.92$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.45 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 749.25$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 653.77$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 34c | 612.54$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.09 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 53c | 552.72$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.96 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 60c | 496$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 43c | 386$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 330.2$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 327.43$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.45 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…0314backed Over | 59c | 320.29$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e45…0a64backed Over | 51c | 312.58$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 76c | 293.92$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 282$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…1176backed Under | 39c | 255.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 60c | 238$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 75c | 235.78$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 40c | 222.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 220.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 73c | 207.32$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 64c | 202.51$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 41c | 200.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 11c | 177.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 55c | 158.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 39c | 152.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 51c | 128.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f6…03b4backed Under | 78c | 127.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed Under | 41c | 111.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Under | 41c | 106.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2508…e25cbacked Over | 66c | 104.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Under | 41c | 101.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 57c | 101$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 65c | 91.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 43c | 86.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…2669backed Over | 64c | 77.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Under | 79c | 77.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Under | 54c | 76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 46c | 75.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 65c | 66.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 43c | 66.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 45c | 63.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 45c | 61.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…91dfbacked Over | 56c | 54.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 43c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 62c | 50.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 176 | 60.8%107 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 61c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 58c | 48.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 43c | 47.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 64c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…40a3backed Under | 44c | 45.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 74c | 42.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 50c | 42.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 40.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 43c | 38.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Over | 50c | 37.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 57c | 35.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Over | 31c | 35.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 59c | 25.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…af14backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-19.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-20.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-25.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-26.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-28.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Wizards vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.