NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bcade2151d077a2524c0b4c430579403b24caf9d3cd0d940c9d8c8990c50172
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,153 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 46,890$24,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,767.11 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 49c | 29,414$14,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,412.86 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 52c | 23,719$12,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,385.02 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Over | 48c | 14,524$6,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,971.69 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 13,653$6,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,690.06 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 13,213$6,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,474.29 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 10,041$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 48c | 7,250$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 48c | 6,354$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 50c | 6,304$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.24 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 49c | 6,141$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 48c | 5,557$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.52 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 51c | 4,651$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.75 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 51c | 4,650$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 48c | 4,419$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.04 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 48c | 4,218$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.5 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 49c | 4,025$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.25 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 24c | 2,743$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.65 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 16c | 2,320$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.1 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 2,236$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.79 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 48c | 1,930$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.55 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.86 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Under | 53c | 1,667$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.81 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,387$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 48c | 1,245$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.6 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,213$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 816$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Under | 75c | 767.52$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…dbaebacked Over | 54c | 709.45$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 621.05$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 544.23$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.96 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 43c | 303.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 52c | 261.9$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 252.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Under | 53c | 197$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 196.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb9…0f15backed Under | 52c | 192.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 49c | 151.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 53c | 139.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 42c | 131.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 52c | 119.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…3dbebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…60fabacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Under | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Over | 49c | 92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 53c | 84.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 77.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 72.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Under | 58c | 62.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…9d61backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 63c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 48c | 53.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 52c | 45.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 48c | 41.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Under | 52c | 38.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Under | 52c | 37.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…5ac7backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…5a44backed Under | 52c | 36.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 53c | 32.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b66…dbd1backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…f85fbacked Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Under | 51c | 27.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Under | 52c | 27.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…8581backed Under | 76c | 26.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 72c | 25.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 63c | 24.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 48c | 21.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…acefbacked Under | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 53c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 73c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-19.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-20.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-25.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-26.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-28.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Wizards vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.