NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74c65abc26d296ba15e6cced65162c0ff2876a096bfe0506b9ed4b59faab73eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Wizards, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,510,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,510,965 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Wizards | 4c | 239,136$10,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,337.38 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 4c | 211,292$8,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,412.62 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 5c | 168,619$8,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,444.76 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards | 5c | 115,000$5,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,710 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed Wizards | 6c | 72,533$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.92 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 5c | 71,270$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards | 6c | 66,831$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.56 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards | 6c | 65,578$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,943.63 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Wizards | 5c | 63,826$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.29 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards | 0c | 38,190$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 6c | 36,374$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4530backed Wizards | 5c | 35,492$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.13 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Wizards | 0c | 30,878$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 4c | 30,032$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.27 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Wizards | 0c | 28,298$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Wizards | 4c | 25,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Wizards | 4c | 21,984$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.3 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Wizards | 5c | 20,482$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 5c | 20,418$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.69 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Wizards | 5c | 20,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards | 4c | 17,572$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.47 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Wizards | 0c | 17,231$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Wizards | 6c | 16,619$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.09 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wizards | 5c | 16,000$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.12 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 6c | 14,100$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 5c | 14,076$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.18 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Wizards | 7c | 13,142$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.8 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Wizards | 1c | 10,983$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards | 5c | 10,398$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.11 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Wizards | 0c | 10,238$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wizards | 5c | 10,002$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.59 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Wizards | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 4.9%6 W · 117 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6e…f410backed Wizards | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…8733backed Wizards | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Wizards | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d7…e936backed Wizards | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Wizards | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 4c | 9,999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 4c | 9,917$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.48 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 6c | 9,914$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.74 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards | 5c | 9,042$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.02 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 1c | 7,935$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Wizards | 5c | 7,631$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.43 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Wizards | 3c | 6,312$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Wizards | 1c | 6,085$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Wizards | 4c | 5,702$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 0c | 5,345$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f058backed Wizards | 1c | 5,333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Wizards | 8c | 5,194$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.43 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Wizards | 1c | 4,860$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wizards | 5c | 4,670$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.9 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Wizards | 4c | 4,612$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards | 6c | 4,522$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.6 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Wizards | 6c | 4,392$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.26 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…4efdbacked Wizards | 7c | 4,270$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…b505backed Wizards | 9c | 4,200$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Wizards | 4c | 4,129$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 4c | 4,007$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Wizards | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…4da2backed Wizards | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Wizards | 7c | 3,749$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Wizards | 4c | 3,707$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.42 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wizards | 5c | 3,686$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.39 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Wizards | 6c | 2,850$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Wizards | 5c | 2,774$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.62 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Wizards | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Wizards | 5c | 2,422$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Wizards | 5c | 2,419$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 323 | 30.7%99 W · 224 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…32fcbacked Wizards | 0c | 2,350$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…681ebacked Wizards | 6c | 2,226$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wizards | 5c | 2,148$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 33%61 W · 124 L | -19.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…779fbacked Wizards | 5c | 2,140$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Wizards | 4c | 2,069$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6831…c584backed Wizards | 4c | 2,045$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wizards | 7c | 2,030$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…50c6backed Wizards | 5c | 2,007$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Wizards | 5c | 2,000$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Wizards | 5c | 2,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Wizards | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 6c | 1,957$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x289b…178cbacked Wizards | 3c | 1,930$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…1902backed Wizards | 6c | 1,750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2fb8backed Wizards | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…61e1backed Wizards | 5c | 1,700$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 5c | 1,664$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…627bbacked Wizards | 6c | 1,650$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards | 7c | 1,504$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Wizards | 7c | 1,500$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Wizards | 6c | 1,464$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef3…acdfbacked Wizards | 5c | 1,460$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…6961backed Wizards | 6c | 1,363$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Wizards | 5c | 1,363$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b82…de83backed Wizards | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Wizards | 5c | 1,322$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…a147backed Wizards | 5c | 1,311$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Wizards | 5c | 1,304$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 5c | 1,192$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Wizards | 7c | 1,116$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Celticsthis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-19.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-20.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-25.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-26.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-28.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.