TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Wizards, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,510,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,510,965 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5523…51e9backed Wizards4c239,136$10,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,337.3861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards4c211,292$8,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,412.621,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards5c168,619$8,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,444.7647028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards5c115,000$5,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,71054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Wizards6c72,533$4,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,109.923925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards5c71,270$3,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,223.774,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards6c66,831$3,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,841.5627424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards6c65,578$3,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,943.6348845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Wizards5c63,826$3,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,091.296546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards0c38,190$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1655213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards6c36,374$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.114,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Wizards5c35,492$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.134231%13 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards0c30,878$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.873179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards4c30,032$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.2761835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Wizards0c28,298$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards4c25,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Wizards4c21,984$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.335251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Wizards5c20,482$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004619.6%9 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards5c20,418$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.693,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Wizards5c20,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9809733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards4c17,572$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.472,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Wizards0c17,231$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2342434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Wizards6c16,619$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.0924831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wizards5c16,000$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.129018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards6c14,100$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8461,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Wizards5c14,076$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.182,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards7c13,142$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.861336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Wizards1c10,983$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007018.6%13 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards5c10,398$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.111,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…e910backed Wizards0c10,238$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Wizards5c10,002$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.591,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Wizards0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6e…f410backed Wizards0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd6…8733backed Wizards0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Wizards6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d7…e936backed Wizards0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Wizards7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards4c9,999$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.962,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards4c9,917$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.483,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards6c9,914$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.741,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards5c9,042$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.0282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards1c7,935$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.238783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Wizards5c7,631$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.435940.7%24 W · 35 L-12.5wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-41.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x67d0…db7abacked Wizards3c6,312$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.11637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Wizards1c6,085$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.161088.3%9 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Wizards4c5,702$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8913346.6%62 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards0c5,345$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.778820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e1…f058backed Wizards1c5,333$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-69.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Wizards8c5,194$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4313435.8%48 W · 86 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Wizards1c4,860$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.164723.4%11 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wizards5c4,670$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.91,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Wizards4c4,612$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18419443.3%84 W · 110 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards6c4,522$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.61,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Wizards6c4,392$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2620638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c9…4efdbacked Wizards7c4,270$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.960%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ab…b505backed Wizards9c4,200$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Wizards4c4,129$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards4c4,007$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.284,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Wizards5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x333f…4da2backed Wizards5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014738.8%57 W · 90 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Wizards7c3,749$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.6612541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wizards4c3,707$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4232039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Wizards5c3,686$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.391,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Wizards6c2,850$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9985344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Wizards5c2,774$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6246342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Wizards4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dde…9d98backed Wizards5c2,422$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.952030%6 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Wizards5c2,419$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3432330.7%99 W · 224 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12df…32fcbacked Wizards0c2,350$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ec…681ebacked Wizards6c2,226$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.544134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Wizards5c2,148$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018533%61 W · 124 L-19.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fb2…779fbacked Wizards5c2,140$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Wizards4c2,069$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7622637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6831…c584backed Wizards4c2,045$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Wizards7c2,030$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.072,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c6…50c6backed Wizards5c2,007$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003420.6%7 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8188…0667backed Wizards5c2,000$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1077518.7%14 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Wizards5c2,000$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9835049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Wizards1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards6c1,957$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.572,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x289b…178cbacked Wizards3c1,930$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2615337.9%58 W · 95 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa98a…1902backed Wizards6c1,750$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed Wizards6c1,700$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe948…61e1backed Wizards5c1,700$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.63351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards5c1,664$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.542,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…627bbacked Wizards6c1,650$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997651.3%39 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards7c1,504$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Wizards7c1,500$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2436843.8%161 W · 207 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Wizards6c1,464$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8262144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef3…acdfbacked Wizards5c1,460$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.443122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebf…6961backed Wizards6c1,363$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Wizards5c1,363$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7817144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b82…de83backed Wizards6c1,333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Wizards5c1,322$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3236023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1129…a147backed Wizards5c1,311$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Wizards5c1,304$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2241832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards5c1,192$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.713,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Wizards7c1,116$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7717436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.