NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd101a2a1fe1431f15565d672b994b02dea2c79ebe8904d6ce7e900b8eac00474
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $464,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,115 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Under | 46c | 241,383$111,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,346.92 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Over | 54c | 122,101$65,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,934.77 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…8ac1backed Over | 54c | 31,068$16,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,776.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 52c | 20,994$10,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,871.32 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfd…e9b2backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…47d5backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…88ecbacked Over | 54c | 12,858$6,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,943.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…1bc2backed Under | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 11,019$5,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,729.75 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…56d2backed Under | 46c | 10,597$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,722.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…e630backed Under | 46c | 10,426$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,630.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…b767backed Over | 54c | 10,293$5,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,558.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab73…3763backed Under | 46c | 10,087$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc424…b66bbacked Under | 46c | 8,897$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,804.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1c…d45ebacked Over | 54c | 8,858$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,783.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…7ec3backed Over | 54c | 8,815$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…680abacked Over | 54c | 8,804$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,754.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…7a6ebacked Over | 54c | 8,745$4,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,722.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…ff35backed Over | 54c | 8,535$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,608.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c18…8c53backed Over | 54c | 8,480$4,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,579.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efe…191ebacked Under | 48c | 8,400$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…8c05backed Over | 54c | 8,077$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b49…4d86backed Over | 54c | 7,935$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…38d5backed Over | 54c | 7,857$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…415bbacked Under | 46c | 7,844$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…ec4abacked Over | 54c | 7,683$4,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,148.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…7949backed Over | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 7,288$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1c…4694backed Under | 49c | 7,236$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…b198backed Over | 54c | 7,231$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d9…bfa8backed Under | 46c | 7,224$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c3…e53ebacked Under | 46c | 6,842$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…42b0backed Under | 46c | 6,696$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,615.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…8030backed Under | 46c | 6,569$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e2…187bbacked Under | 46c | 6,533$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…a786backed Over | 54c | 6,490$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…45a1backed Over | 54c | 6,144$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…6433backed Under | 46c | 5,830$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 46c | 5,657$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.01 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…806ebacked Under | 46c | 5,532$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…ec9fbacked Over | 54c | 5,337$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…abecbacked Over | 54c | 4,902$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…df31backed Under | 46c | 4,841$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1503…4440backed Over | 54c | 4,791$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…029ebacked Over | 54c | 4,623$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0951…90b9backed Over | 54c | 4,506$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8e…1900backed Over | 54c | 4,489$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…4475backed Over | 53c | 4,366$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af8…5017backed Over | 54c | 4,345$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2334…187fbacked Over | 53c | 4,220$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6b…b395backed Over | 53c | 4,200$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…bb21backed Over | 54c | 4,074$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…452fbacked Over | 54c | 3,877$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…70acbacked Under | 46c | 3,863$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…580fbacked Over | 54c | 3,835$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…dc43backed Under | 46c | 3,707$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…8b6dbacked Over | 53c | 3,705$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e26fbacked Over | 54c | 3,465$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…4639backed Over | 54c | 3,308$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…82f5backed Over | 54c | 3,164$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…a8afbacked Under | 46c | 2,891$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…06cdbacked Over | 54c | 2,700$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…91c6backed Under | 47c | 2,455$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…c8c9backed Over | 54c | 2,436$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…c48cbacked Under | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26af…ebd0backed Under | 47c | 2,388$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f0…4675backed Under | 47c | 2,377$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 2,320$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.16 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…40fdbacked Over | 54c | 2,278$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4f…4c77backed Under | 46c | 2,028$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795e…51b6backed Under | 47c | 1,968$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235f…02eebacked Under | 47c | 1,966$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…e91fbacked Under | 47c | 1,823$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 59c | 1,701$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129c…fe5bbacked Over | 54c | 1,526$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb921…82b2backed Over | 53c | 1,425$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad0…8d83backed Under | 47c | 1,166$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…ee24backed Under | 47c | 1,114$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,034$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…5569backed Under | 46c | 976$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 51c | 942.57$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.71 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 59c | 930.14$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.78 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 922.57$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 44c | 901.68$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.3 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 867.48$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 52c | 852.27$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.9 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…3e36backed Over | 54c | 806$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…7ce7backed Under | 46c | 739$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 725.39$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…5f4dbacked Under | 46c | 707$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…b799backed Under | 46c | 690$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…a0fabacked Over | 54c | 670$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 48c | 625.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.1 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 580$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 41c | 543.14$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.82 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 535.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.35 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 52c | 470.85$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.84 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-19.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-20.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-25.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-26.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-28.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Wizards vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.