NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d3fa2d289473613c616b20abc854d8fea1bee46fd6fc02f49d20a4181bfc256
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,393 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 55c | 13,709$7,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,515.52 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 53c | 11,771$6,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,238.7 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Under | 45c | 10,740$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,907 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 8,140$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 5,434$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 55c | 4,443$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.66 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 4,300$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 47c | 4,200$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 56c | 3,219$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.46 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 2,231$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…658ebacked Over | 49c | 2,155$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287b…b7bebacked Under | 49c | 2,071$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…10c2backed Under | 51c | 2,009$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…88cbbacked Over | 49c | 1,931$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1e…8a92backed Over | 49c | 1,912$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1b…033ebacked Under | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…55c5backed Under | 51c | 1,891$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…cd35backed Over | 49c | 1,880$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…5259backed Over | 49c | 1,832$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba8…93b6backed Over | 49c | 1,815$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd0…8f68backed Under | 51c | 1,812$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea1…e2cbbacked Under | 51c | 1,762$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…95f5backed Under | 51c | 1,652$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b5…6347backed Under | 51c | 1,618$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e6…5e0ebacked Over | 49c | 1,558$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…2961backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e9…63d5backed Under | 51c | 1,458$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ff…7006backed Over | 49c | 1,412$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…1947backed Over | 51c | 1,410$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea0…d377backed Over | 49c | 1,388$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5852…5558backed Under | 51c | 1,318$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84c…e97dbacked Under | 51c | 1,276$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 50c | 1,253$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.25 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 1,224$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…ef4ebacked Under | 49c | 1,210$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…6c6fbacked Over | 49c | 1,205$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…b2d5backed Under | 49c | 1,199$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…be9abacked Over | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…1db3backed Under | 51c | 1,157$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a635backed Over | 49c | 1,148$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…d99fbacked Under | 51c | 1,135$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e1…01f4backed Over | 49c | 1,121$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb805…48c7backed Under | 51c | 1,091$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…6aeabacked Over | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 942.08$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.92 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d10…3edabacked Over | 51c | 932$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…d4c7backed Over | 51c | 931$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…d3e7backed Over | 49c | 912$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 15c | 838.24$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…03a6backed Under | 51c | 812$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777a…1f85backed Over | 49c | 769$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…c9babacked Under | 51c | 746$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…0ab2backed Over | 49c | 733$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 73c | 685.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.63 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 51c | 685.34$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.52 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…7bcfbacked Over | 49c | 663$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 27c | 634.62$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.35 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d0…f1f3backed Under | 51c | 620$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…79e8backed Under | 51c | 599$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ee…464ebacked Under | 51c | 598$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…dbdabacked Under | 51c | 555$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…0305backed Over | 49c | 552$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 542.76$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b4…7d11backed Over | 49c | 539$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62bb…02fcbacked Under | 49c | 520$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 55c | 472.44$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.84 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0263…47e6backed Over | 49c | 440$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…795bbacked Over | 49c | 429$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ee…61dabacked Over | 51c | 420$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd534…a166backed Under | 51c | 410$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2857backed Under | 49c | 401$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ab…c544backed Under | 51c | 372$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Under | 47c | 345.56$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.56 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddc…3077backed Over | 49c | 335$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…dcadbacked Over | 51c | 320$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 45c | 316$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 303$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0f…a5b2backed Over | 49c | 299$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 273.08$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c07…cb48backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 249.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.26 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…4891backed Over | 54c | 230.64$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 63c | 230$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde4…74a8backed Over | 51c | 208$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08da…4d16backed Under | 51c | 195$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 55c | 166.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 45c | 158$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…9ba1backed Over | 49c | 158$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 40c | 155.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 28c | 137.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Over | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 105.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-19.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-20.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-25.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-26.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-28.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Wizards vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.