NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-19.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10e7534a1032b549e6e4e487fb494c645028b7b8e976dd52f4ec5da37111fdc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Celtics, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $562,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $562,153 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards | 49c | 197,903$96,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,781.03 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 51c | 141,145$71,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,983.94 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Celtics | 53c | 64,000$33,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,920 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Wizards | 54c | 20,275$10,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,337.32 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 46c | 19,800$9,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,108 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 52c | 18,849$9,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,717.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb218…d9a5backed Celtics | 53c | 12,394$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,568.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…71d9backed Celtics | 53c | 12,046$6,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,384.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…83e1backed Wizards | 47c | 11,785$5,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,246.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Celtics | 53c | 11,113$5,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,890 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…054fbacked Wizards | 47c | 10,564$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,598.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…40e5backed Wizards | 47c | 10,026$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,313.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…02f6backed Wizards | 47c | 10,003$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,301.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…d347backed Celtics | 53c | 9,732$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…7237backed Wizards | 47c | 9,522$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,046.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8587…b0d8backed Celtics | 53c | 9,241$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,897.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…4a64backed Wizards | 47c | 9,083$4,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,813.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…386abacked Celtics | 53c | 8,996$4,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9e…c82bbacked Wizards | 47c | 8,915$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…1531backed Wizards | 47c | 8,819$4,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…6d8fbacked Celtics | 53c | 8,736$4,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,630.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…c0c9backed Wizards | 47c | 8,004$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…82dabacked Celtics | 53c | 7,968$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,223.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…629dbacked Celtics | 53c | 7,966$4,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c91…8623backed Celtics | 53c | 7,851$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…d680backed Celtics | 53c | 7,539$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…dcecbacked Celtics | 53c | 7,415$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…b879backed Celtics | 53c | 7,298$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb8…5f3ebacked Celtics | 53c | 7,266$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…e6c6backed Celtics | 53c | 7,266$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…af76backed Wizards | 47c | 6,678$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Celtics | 53c | 6,625$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb0…8991backed Celtics | 53c | 6,568$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…08c1backed Celtics | 53c | 6,536$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Celtics | 53c | 6,092$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…9a90backed Celtics | 53c | 5,804$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Celtics | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1888backed Celtics | 53c | 5,526$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…1df1backed Celtics | 53c | 5,397$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d2…3d67backed Wizards | 47c | 5,262$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…61d2backed Wizards | 47c | 5,119$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f0…8b05backed Celtics | 53c | 5,082$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…3b22backed Wizards | 47c | 5,076$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…7ee0backed Celtics | 53c | 5,023$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4185…8eeebacked Wizards | 47c | 5,001$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…de26backed Celtics | 53c | 4,859$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8a…6384backed Celtics | 53c | 4,760$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…f57cbacked Celtics | 53c | 4,589$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc191…9ef9backed Celtics | 53c | 3,802$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x957d…a7f6backed Wizards | 47c | 3,717$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics | 49c | 3,657$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.78 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ede…7a1ebacked Celtics | 53c | 3,525$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…9d52backed Celtics | 53c | 3,525$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…6254backed Celtics | 53c | 3,423$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9261…a2c4backed Wizards | 47c | 3,419$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd9…30f2backed Celtics | 53c | 3,401$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b1…a912backed Celtics | 53c | 3,392$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac4…4fe5backed Celtics | 53c | 3,298$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…7a9ebacked Wizards | 47c | 3,236$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…52f5backed Wizards | 47c | 3,228$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…d396backed Celtics | 53c | 3,131$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…d3a8backed Celtics | 53c | 3,090$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ae2backed Celtics | 53c | 2,988$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Celtics | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2b…373ebacked Celtics | 53c | 2,796$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…7995backed Celtics | 53c | 2,726$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…abc0backed Celtics | 53c | 2,681$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b3…18e7backed Wizards | 47c | 2,674$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Wizards | 49c | 2,560$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.27 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb592…6b69backed Wizards | 47c | 2,499$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…42d5backed Wizards | 47c | 2,499$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b7…0735backed Celtics | 53c | 2,465$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…a77fbacked Wizards | 47c | 2,427$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…d315backed Wizards | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…aa83backed Wizards | 47c | 2,271$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…72f3backed Wizards | 47c | 2,266$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…ff00backed Celtics | 53c | 2,250$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…c5eabacked Celtics | 53c | 2,202$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb76…5269backed Wizards | 47c | 2,191$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…58e5backed Wizards | 47c | 2,189$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…752bbacked Wizards | 47c | 2,158$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…51efbacked Wizards | 47c | 2,150$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c09…a631backed Wizards | 47c | 2,145$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Wizards | 48c | 2,077$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.14 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5b…16a5backed Wizards | 47c | 2,055$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…5416backed Celtics | 53c | 1,971$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d7…9592backed Celtics | 53c | 1,946$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf727…d276backed Celtics | 53c | 1,914$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…68c9backed Wizards | 47c | 1,898$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Wizards | 48c | 1,870$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.22 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…706fbacked Wizards | 47c | 1,852$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9406…dac2backed Wizards | 47c | 1,830$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 51c | 1,825$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…d294backed Wizards | 47c | 1,822$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…07b4backed Celtics | 53c | 1,751$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 52c | 1,748$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…49e9backed Wizards | 47c | 1,644$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…2044backed Celtics | 53c | 1,627$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e8…2f67backed Wizards | 47c | 1,591$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…b8c3backed Wizards | 47c | 1,543$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-19.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-20.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-25.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-26.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-28.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Wizards vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.