NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a23624331a91c7b83b0845ee0a74dba5f4ae4e6e38c9211dfe0d5f067794f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $828,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $828,639 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 456,547$243,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243,231.15 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 200,000$92,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,999.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 124,225$58,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,855.03 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 47c | 33,763$16,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,750.51 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 29,670$14,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,489.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 49c | 25,000$12,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,849.98 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 48c | 23,800$11,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,376 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 21,499$9,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,824.4 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 11,814$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,025.28 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 10,350$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,382 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Under | 48c | 9,800$4,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,096 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Under | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 47c | 8,500$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 6,655$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 5,156$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 48c | 5,100$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.97 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 48c | 4,980$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.6 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.75 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 4,203$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.45 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 48c | 2,560$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.2 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Under | 46c | 2,362$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.38 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 48c | 2,304$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.06 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 2,237$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.79 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 2,230$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 47c | 2,150$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.99 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 53c | 1,934$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.02 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…a09bbacked Over | 54c | 1,830$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.13 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 53c | 1,413$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.85 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 27c | 1,250$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.8 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Under | 48c | 1,015$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.58 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 47c | 999$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.47 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 956.78$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.92 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 924.29$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.93 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 850$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 631.17$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.86 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 629.09$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.68 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Under | 47c | 571$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.63 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 52c | 481.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…0624backed Under | 48c | 425$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 381.23$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.68 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…4891backed Over | 53c | 369.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.23 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 361.94$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Under | 48c | 312.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.47 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Over | 54c | 282$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.28 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 48c | 277.08$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…1e41backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 47c | 211.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 166.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 48c | 160.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 48c | 136.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 48c | 135.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 53c | 126$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 48c | 120$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…472fbacked Over | 55c | 109.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 54c | 106.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 51c | 97.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 96.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 31c | 94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 47c | 91.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 55c | 90.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 54c | 89.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 48c | 88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…dd09backed Under | 46c | 85.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9265backed Under | 48c | 83.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Over | 53c | 82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Under | 47c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Under | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Under | 48c | 70.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 48c | 68.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…0364backed Over | 54c | 65.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-19.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-20.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-21.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-25.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-26.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Celtics (-28.5)Wizards won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Wizards vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.