TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x08fe…aedf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
268
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT8447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.67
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,051.22
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,482.89
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,091.59
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.85
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.98
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,176.85
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,408Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$3,133.58
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,982
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249.19
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,508
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,402Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,217.2
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,540
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,500
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,402.63
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$697.87
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,594.92
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+179.5%+$3,935.18
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.5
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,044.97
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.99
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,010.76
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$992.36
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.97
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,311
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT4946.9%23 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.46
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$905.84
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$528
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,177.67
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.22
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,971Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$4,456.2
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,606.42
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,611Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,611.15
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$912
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,197.91
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,500
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,617
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$657.48
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,017.08
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,040.81
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,024.99
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$866.4
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,061.63
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,048Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$539.73
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.19
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$866.4
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,011Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$971.43
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-21.5)backed Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,262.24
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.03
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT4748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$736.61
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,070.13
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.99
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,503Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$845.34
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$952
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.47
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$663
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,607.56
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,638Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,004.17
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$909.7
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$905Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$802.17
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.19
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.5
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$793.48
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$680
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$944.99
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$495
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$906.3
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$960
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,392
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$792
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,337.74
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.55
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$517
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$226.54
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$644.37
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jacqueline Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,035.57
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andre Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$522
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$548.31
UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Shauna Bannon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.41
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$910.8
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.65
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Cub Swanson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$447.3
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$514.8
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$434.65
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$134.39
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Loopy Godínez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,015.99
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,054
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$663
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,322Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$918.47
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hecher Sosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,055.62
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35.91
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+134.3%+$671.48
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$800.25
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+233.3%+$493.59
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,737Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37.4%+$649.97
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+74.8%+$373.89
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+61.9%+$309.27
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$500
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+68.7%+$343.72
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$265.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.2
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,222.07
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,451Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,008.19
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.68
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$920
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.77
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$524.56
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$528
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,652.01
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,056.89
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,988Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$1,630.62
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,042Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$949.12
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$641.77
NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$707.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$789.68
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,007.99
Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,163.26
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Bolt vs Yibing Wubacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,479Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,668.33
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$193.68
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.79
Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,495Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,226.27
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,737Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$1,047.42
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,836Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$904.09
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RED Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$640
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.76
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,056.87
Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)backed Citadel Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$596.67
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,522.17
LoL: French Flair vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.51
LoL: Misa Esports vs French Flair (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.51
All 8 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,007
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,544.74
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,048
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$280.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.