UFC · resolved market
O/U 1.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fce63af7f2868a4a424c0930947a3015e82045e4e3d12af336eb126520f4356
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 38c | 68,389$25,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,401.39 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 62c | 27,025$16,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,753.39 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 62c | 16,607$10,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,276.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 62c | 13,839$8,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,567.14 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Over | 63c | 4,159$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.36 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 39c | 3,362$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.08 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Over | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Over | 62c | 1,452$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 38c | 1,193$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.77 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 39c | 1,024$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Over | 61c | 816.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 62c | 585.48$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 62c | 532.26$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 62c | 477$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.74 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…1c5bbacked Under | 39c | 452.67$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 37c | 440.76$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.68 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 37c | 439.3$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.37 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Over | 62c | 344$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 62c | 324$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Over | 63c | 298.58$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Over | 62c | 287$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Over | 62c | 268$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 62c | 268$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Over | 62c | 268$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Over | 62c | 267.74$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Over | 62c | 267$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…74a7backed Over | 61c | 239.93$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 61c | 238$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.18 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Over | 62c | 224.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Over | 62c | 218$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…2a8bbacked Over | 61c | 212.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Over | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 62c | 188$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 62c | 164.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 39cpaid | +189%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 62c | 145.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 39c | 137.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Over | 62c | 136$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Over | 62c | 109.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Over | 62c | 109$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 62c | 109$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 62c | 109$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…c648backed Over | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 62c | 102$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Over | 62c | 92.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 62c | 88.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 62c | 83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 39c | 82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Under | 38c | 80.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…8863backed Over | 62c | 80.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 60c | 79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Over | 63c | 73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 60c | 71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…68e6backed Over | 62c | 69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Under | 40c | 68.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 62c | 67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Over | 62c | 59.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…8a80backed Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Over | 63c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Over | 62c | 52.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…1535backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…5ea9backed Over | 62c | 47.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…8eb4backed Over | 62c | 47.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…21b1backed Over | 62c | 47.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Over | 62c | 44.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…bbc7backed Under | 40c | 41.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…4565backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 62c | 40.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Over | 61c | 37.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e90…188dbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…9199backed Over | 62c | 32.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 60c | 31.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 62c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…544bbacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…dc22backed Over | 62c | 27.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…6956backed Under | 39c | 26.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Over | 62c | 25.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21a…b071backed Under | 40c | 25.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…fa24backed Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cb…6dfdbacked Over | 62c | 24.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Over | 62c | 24.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00bd…95f9backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…1f6ebacked Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 1.5 Roundsthis page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)Lance Gibson Jr. won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.