TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,672 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under38c68,389$25,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,401.3916244.4%72 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over62c27,025$16,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,753.3911758.1%68 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over62c16,607$10,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,276.982040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over62c13,839$8,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,567.1410949.5%54 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Over63c4,159$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.363458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under39c3,362$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.089636.5%35 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Over62c1,700$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0542050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Over62c1,452$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under38c1,193$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.776738.8%26 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under39c1,024$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.762437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over61c816.62$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over62c585.48$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3632055%11 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over62c532.26$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004055%22 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over62c477$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.746653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x109f…1c5bbacked Under39c452.67$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under37c440.76$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.6842254.3%229 W · 193 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under37c439.3$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3729133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over62c344$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.281145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over62c324$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.881435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Over63c298.58$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over62c287$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.941650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Over62c268$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-54.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over62c268$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over62c268$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.161631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over62c267.74$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1662437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Over62c267$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-72.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf735…74a7backed Over61c239.93$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over61c238$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.184240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Over62c224.08$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.931952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e4…a1adbacked Over62c218$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.07425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc596…2a8bbacked Over61c212.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Over62c193.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over62c188$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.562138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Under39c179.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.49966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over62c164.6$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.871450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over62c160$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-57.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick39cpaid+189%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over62c145.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906553.8%35 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under39c137.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1717524%42 W · 133 L-22.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Over62c136$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.321553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Over62c109.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over62c109$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.581338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over62c109$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.582343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over62c109$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.582157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34c8…c648backed Over62c104.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656238.7%24 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over62c102$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.246857.4%39 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…2e44backed Over62c92.42$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.31457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over62c88.72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.01742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over62c83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.468361.4%51 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under39c82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.028638.4%33 W · 53 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Under38c80.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.211225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x776c…8863backed Over62c80.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-72.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa60d…03a8backed Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Over60c79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ab3dbacked Over63c73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+58.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Over60c71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Over62c69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Under40c68.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over62c67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.543151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Over62c59.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.641546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over62c56.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357850%39 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over62c56.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4025…8a80backed Over62c56.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Over63c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.652352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Over62c52.47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.532352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked Over62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x800f…1535backed Over62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305054%27 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4589…5ea9backed Over62c47.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.675657.1%32 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d83…8eb4backed Over62c47.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb49…21b1backed Over62c47.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Over62c44.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0d…bbc7backed Under40c41.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…4565backed Over61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over62c40.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.41963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Over61c37.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e90…188dbacked Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x787a…9199backed Over62c32.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-57.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over60c31.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.788848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Over62c31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Over62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.63452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197c…544bbacked Over62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Over62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58fe…dc22backed Over62c27.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5c4…6956backed Under39c26.79$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Over62c25.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.615749.1%28 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb21a…b071backed Under40c25.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa68d…fa24backed Over62c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78cb…6dfdbacked Over62c24.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Over62c24.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00bd…95f9backed Over62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157544%33 W · 42 L-10.7wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-27.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xced0…1f6ebacked Over62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.