TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x931f…2e44

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 33.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT4438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$65.08
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$83.48
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+163.8%+$78.87
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$94.84
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.47
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.6
Spread: Celtics (-18.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Spread: Rockets (-18.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.44
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.31
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.92
Bulls vs. Spursbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.21
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.76
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.14
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$48.99
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.1
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$49.23
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$33.3
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$323.88
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.45
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$98.44
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.25
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.44
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$46.66
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+300%+$167.04
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.24
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Flames vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Avalanche vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$57.24
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$45
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
Sabres vs. Capitalsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Jets vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$99.47
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$86.79
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$21.65
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.49
Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
Sharks vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.3
Sharks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$69.14
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Avalanche vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$30.28
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.27
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$95.06
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.24
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.55
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-6.5)backed Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.71
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.37
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.91
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27.27
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,075.37
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.85
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$33.59
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.55
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.92
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.33
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$27.73
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$29.96
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+217.2%+$36.64
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.28
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.68
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+211%+$247.66
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$77.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.88
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.65
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.96
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$21.58
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+468.9%+$480.02
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.79
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.66
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.88
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$27.04
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.89
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$19.65
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.95
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L-6.7wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-77.8%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.86
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$59.07
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.3
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.48
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.05
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.02
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.42
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.34
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.4
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.54
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.67
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.17
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.51
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jamji vs. Sakamoto: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.66
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.1
Zverev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.39
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$40.21
Jiri Lehecka vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.61
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,025.89
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,710Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$3,403.54
Coco Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$611.04
Gauff vs. Muchova: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,982.88
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Tiafoe vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$22.86
Belinda Bencic vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$29.86
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,498Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+167%+$2,501.98
Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs Mbokobacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Estevam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.8
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Virna Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$37.2
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$94.09
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Alexa Grasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+163.6%+$49.63
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Julian Erosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.86
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.3
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Gabriella Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.72
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Lance Gibson Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+320.5%+$89.16
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.63
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Roman Dolidze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mason Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nathaniel Wood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+211.6%+$139.65
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$15.48
All 14 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Eagles vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+160.1%+$243.1
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.66
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Manresa vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$149.65
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.92
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
Burgos vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$8.93
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.84
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,672.33
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$47.26
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$19.63
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$12.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.