TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,417 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over47c17,745$8,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,404.7259646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c7,667$4,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,017.514,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Under56c6,426$3,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,595.2412844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c3d…3735backed Over51c5,873$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c3,689$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under45c3,053$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.013,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Over80c2,873$2,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.411353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c2,717$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.182,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over52c2,064$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.012,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over57c1,900$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81715952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Under55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over49c1,448$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.585269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c1,287$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.942,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under15c1,234$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18052230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Over52c1,226$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.345657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over56c991.18$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.1287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over61c843.43$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.9411543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002568%17 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over49c597.7$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30314549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under32c542$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.762,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Under56c536.05$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004540%18 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under44c496.78$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0417643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under43c442$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.684,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over55c383.07$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under26c379.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.392,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over55c271.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under44c271$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2416845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under43c266$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3854246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over49c265.31$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under44c257.31$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2255347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under51c245$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3930840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c228.04$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.293,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over63c218.27$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1911753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under40c205.24$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.963,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Under31c195.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under44c188.74$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over53c181.32$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.151,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c163.87$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.493,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Under63c157.54$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8814155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over50c152.9$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over45c150.21$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under41c150.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.561,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Over49c139.92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.192050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under44c134.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.360945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under36c133.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0160049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c117.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.195,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under48c110.58$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0837848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa616…b8ffbacked Over58c103.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.023177.4%24 W · 7 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Over49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0211058.2%64 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4421653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under45c99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5515650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9138152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b8…7367backed Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.634854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed Over52c76.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.236648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x931f…2e44backed Under45c74.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.444438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over55c72.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.882,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4323657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4241…bfefbacked Under54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under48c62.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3087744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under45c61.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1816046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84a…6b1fbacked Over54c58.81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.051241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under47c56.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4820353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd1f…ea7abacked Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under48c53.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2519166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under52c52.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5855846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe961…c32bbacked Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6311459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under57c52.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.729652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54df…51fabacked Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7214963.1%94 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Over47c47.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2124139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under50c44.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.417154.9%39 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefcb…f64abacked Under45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84332.6%14 W · 29 L-7.2wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c43.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.661,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under33c43.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3514858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under50c39.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under47c39.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over51c38.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8515351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over57c38.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.610850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under54c36.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c35.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.551,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…60ccbacked Over49c34.73$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.551258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over49c34.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6920838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over56c34.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2413541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under50c34.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3513349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9f…e763backed Under58c34.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc43…1c86backed Over58c34.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.271963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfad4…379bbacked Under39c33.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under45c33.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1193145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over60c31.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6962047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Under45c30.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.955356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84a9…dbc4backed Over50c30.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.210444.2%46 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Over55c27.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5713346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Under49c26.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.076734.3%23 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Over57c26.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3314931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under43c26.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.311,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Over55c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.732752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x391c…ea3fbacked Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.864645.7%21 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.