NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e51379855b384daf29dad34f87c1152eb71562b7d65dd26798080475e9f8548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Bulls, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Bulls | 54c | 46,563$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 47c | 24,444$11,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,032.41 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 20,931$10,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,720 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls | 51c | 14,000$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,139.95 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Bulls | 51c | 13,718$7,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,062.21 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,360 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 8,354$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,511.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…36f4backed Grizzlies | 75c | 5,325$3,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 4,313$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.5 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 46c | 3,699$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 46c | 3,191$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.29 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,280$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.02 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,952$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 34c | 1,946$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Bulls | 51c | 1,609$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.43 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Bulls | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 28c | 1,473$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.97 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…9823backed Grizzlies | 49c | 927.61$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.08 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Bulls | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Grizzlies | 51c | 867.99$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.31 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 811.93$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies | 52c | 799.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Bulls | 48c | 724.58$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Bulls | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bulls | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 598.48$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.28 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 45c | 592.98$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bulls | 51c | 523.31$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.81 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Grizzlies | 53c | 496.36$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.29 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Bulls | 33c | 423.82$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.21 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…39b0backed Grizzlies | 64c | 414.64$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Bulls | 52c | 384.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 378.75$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Bulls | 32c | 346.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Bulls | 52c | 341.35$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 318.34$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Grizzlies | 52c | 308.12$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.73 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Bulls | 26c | 296.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 46c | 282.8$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls | 27c | 276.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Bulls | 26c | 270.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Bulls | 26c | 241.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…9740backed Grizzlies | 49c | 228.81$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Grizzlies | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Bulls | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Bulls | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Bulls | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530a…4961backed Bulls | 56c | 178.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bulls | 47c | 155.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Bulls | 54c | 149.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f1…927ebacked Bulls | 22c | 142.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Grizzlies | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 139$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 137.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 45c | 124$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 115$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies | 44c | 110.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Grizzlies | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Bulls | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Bulls | 54c | 100.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 232 | 46.1%107 W · 125 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Bulls | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 84.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Bulls | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…2df3backed Grizzlies | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Bulls | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Bulls | 49c | 62.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Grizzlies | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Bulls | 50c | 55.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f42bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 54.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Grizzlies | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Bulls | 52c | 52.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Bulls | 24c | 51.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf50…b426backed Bulls | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Grizzlies | 52c | 47.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls | 29c | 44.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bulls | 47c | 43.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Bulls | 26c | 42.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Bulls | 52c | 40.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Bulls | 49c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…f329backed Bulls | 52c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Bulls | 54c | 34.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Grizzlies | 73c | 31.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Bulls | 52c | 30.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…a977backed Bulls | 52c | 30.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…4642backed Grizzlies | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 48c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Grizzlies | 53c | 27.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…8a76backed Bulls | 52c | 27.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Bulls | 53c | 26.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bulls | 49c | 23.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Bulls | 49c | 23.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Grizzlies | 47c | 22.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)this page
- Bulls vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5Over won
- Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Taylor Hendricks: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.