NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c5ee6b72b29c2f8683e0636076ed859edadf6a85c0e8d556e3aaba6202df663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 14,533$7,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,121.15 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 50c | 11,543$5,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,771.5 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Over | 51c | 9,606$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.92 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Under | 49c | 9,574$4,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,691.03 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 9,523$4,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.27 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 7,533$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 51c | 5,381$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.44 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 3,084$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.98 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 1,329$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.43 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 1,222$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.94 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 39c | 884.29$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.51 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 725.62$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.81 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 50c | 648.88$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.44 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 50c | 544.33$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.92 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 27c | 431.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.43 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 390$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…d0fabacked Under | 65c | 309.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 302.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Under | 67c | 194.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Under | 50c | 188.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 10c | 176$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 159.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 142.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 135.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc5…625dbacked Under | 40c | 134.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 48c | 133$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 54c | 130.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Over | 43c | 116.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 15c | 94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 73c | 66.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…9b86backed Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 35c | 61.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Under | 80c | 58.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 39c | 55.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748c…ce74backed Over | 51c | 53.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 40c | 38.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 45c | 36.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Under | 50c | 36.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Under | 54c | 36.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Under | 55c | 35.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…7ff5backed Under | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…24fbbacked Under | 56c | 23.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 60c | 22.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7a…aff2backed Under | 54c | 21.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…dae7backed Under | 54c | 20.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0653…febebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1c…e73abacked Under | 79c | 16.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5this page
- Bulls vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5Over won
- Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Taylor Hendricks: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.