NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46643af521ef3d9aee29e7bec2eba1108e8870edfb1786c2b2b1f1d0d4735bae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 2,331$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,407$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1e48backed Under | 51c | 933.04$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 527.79$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.83 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 54c | 500.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.64 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 47c | 473.71$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.07 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 351.89$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.98 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 260.36$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 46c | 212.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…6b1fbacked Over | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 47c | 193.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 54c | 184.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 43c | 150.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 124.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 105.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 101.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 101.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 51c | 101.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 51c | 99.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 47c | 91.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 51c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 54c | 63.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 46c | 62.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 51c | 56.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 56c | 54.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 52.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 47.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 47c | 45.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 44.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 44c | 44.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 41.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 49c | 36.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 43c | 35.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…eb7fbacked Under | 41c | 35.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 51c | 31.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 30.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…c75fbacked Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 28.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…48c6backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…6834backed Under | 55c | 26.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 53c | 23.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 65c | 23.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over | 55c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…c7eebacked Under | 53c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5this page
- Bulls vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5Over won
- Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Taylor Hendricks: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.