TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb277…c7ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 61 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+97%+$9.78
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.51
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.18
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$25.02
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.45
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.49
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$20.81
Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Spread: Hawks (-16.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$13.59
Spread: Lakers (-18.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+207.2%+$38.35
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.93
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.05
Miyazaki: Tung-Lin Wu vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$5.93
Bucharest Open: Nuno Borges vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$14.57
Bucharest Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$7.35
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Martin Damm vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$7.03
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+183.2%+$31.31
Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+142.5%+$28.01
Bucharest Open, Qualification: George Loffhagen vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$7.2
Sao Paulo: Jaime Faria vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$25.03
Yokkaichi: Rio Noguchi vs Yasutaka Uchiyamabacked Yasutaka Uchiyama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+55%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$15.92
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$26.3
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$33.82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$16.03
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.23
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$34.09
Will Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+174.9%+$40.55
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$9.7
Real Zaragoza vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$5.08
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Albacete Balompié vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$8.97
Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+128%+$21.06
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+173.7%+$140.47
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.34
Will Germany vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$17.46
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Colombia vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.71
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$14.12
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$27.53
Hungary vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$5.81
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.77
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$27.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+166.6%+$19.94
EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$13.95
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.09
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$6.76
Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$19.75
CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$18.82
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+79%+$8.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+97.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+55%+$7.66
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.11
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+123.6%+$13.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+259.3%+$38.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.34
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$11.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.59
Go Ahead Eagles vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.