Asian League · resolved market
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4593e7956ebd1c62c10af28acaf27a104ba99f3db533696030ed24d0577039ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 7,299$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.92 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 46c | 7,022$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,816.11 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 2,295$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.02 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Yes | 51c | 589.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.23 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 497.37$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.56 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 54c | 473.78$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.17 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 31c | 449.66$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 422.86$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.41 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 16c | 376.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 307.91$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 54c | 234.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.61 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes | 45c | 223.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 54c | 210.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 54c | 210.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 54c | 210.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 50c | 209.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.7 | 205 | 20%41 W · 164 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 54c | 208.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 186.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 51c | 175.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 54c | 169.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 55c | 160.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 16c | 140.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 117.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 52c | 114.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 54c | 111.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 54c | 111.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 54c | 111.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed No | 54c | 109.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 91.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 55c | 87.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 52c | 80.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed No | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked No | 33c | 72.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 54c | 70.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 49c | 64.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 54.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 46c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 54c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked No | 54c | 49.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 50c | 45.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 80c | 30.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked No | 54c | 28.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…fdedbacked No | 55c | 26.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 63c | 23.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…c7eebacked No | 51c | 22.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Yes | 46c | 22.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Yes | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.