Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b9c5bb407305b8776f6bae64df666ce3f5d8fef455d54f6fd89f47b3eb75ab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 5,330$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.2 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 25c | 799.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 2c | 676.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 494.48$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 476.46$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 392.44$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 75c | 367$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 79c | 333.54$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 79c | 333.54$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 80c | 329.88$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 80c | 314.9$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed No | 79c | 313.04$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 80c | 309.38$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 80c | 309.38$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 80c | 309.38$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 80c | 309.38$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 79c | 308.55$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 78c | 291.72$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 265.39$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 75c | 233$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 165.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 77c | 129.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 24c | 91.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 17c | 89.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 81.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 78c | 45.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked No | 74c | 33.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 76c | 33.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.