TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x49ff…b00a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. Koelner Haiebacked Koelner Haie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.8
DEL: Adler Mannheim vs. Loewen Frankfurtbacked Adler Mannheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+30.8%+$64.25
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.72
Avalanche vs. Utah: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.12
Kraken vs. Stars: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.89
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$10
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Henderson Silver Knightsbacked Bakersfield Condors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$393.12
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$342
Rangers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.52
Stars vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+92.3%+$22.56
Canucks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$92.35
Oilers vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$51.31
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$552.12
Lightning vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Canucks vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+65%+$62.62
Hurricanes vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$183.26
Lightning vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+81.7%+$31.93
Kraken vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$45.6
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+100%+$70
Bruins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$102.29
DEL: Loewen Frankfurt vs. Schwenninger Wild Wingsbacked Schwenninger Wild Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$254.81
Sabres vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100.2%+$100.1
AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Henderson Silver Knightsbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30.72
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.1
LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Playoffsbacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$670.27
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$78.69
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$116
LoL: Myth Esports vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Groupbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$171.58
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Ruddy Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Ruddy Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,899
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25.4%+$142
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.17
LoL: mCon esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Groupbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+70.9%+$12.76
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$358.84
LoL: Myth Esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO1)backed Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$160
LoL: ZennIT vs Once Upon A Team (BO1)backed Once Upon A Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$239.92
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$10
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$98.26
LoL: HMBLE vs Deacoy (BO1)backed Deacoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$250.43
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$17.4
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Myth Esports (BO1)backed Myth Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs ZennIT (BO1)backed Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+49.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+25%+$3.2
West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$321.77
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$177.92
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+77%+$154.01
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$36.41
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$79.55
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.74
Will "Polymarket" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$25.5
Will "Gas Price" or "Gas Station" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$7.88
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$6.43
Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$22.76
Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+163.8%+$40.96
Will Jensen Huang say "Microsoft" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$19.3
Will Jensen Huang say "Google" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$10.85
Will "Tariff" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$7.42
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked KUUSAMO.gg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$408.7
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs MASONIC (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Group Stagebacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$195
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Fingers Crossed (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked Fingers Crossed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$470
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+112.8%+$265
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.9%+$220
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Universe (BO3)backed illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Counter-Strike: japczany vs MASONIC (BO3)backed japczany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$66.42
Counter-Strike: 777 vs FUT Academy (BO3)backed FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$250
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.72
Will Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.61
Will Starmer say "National Security" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$35.96
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Starmer say "Tory" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$4.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kigali: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+94.3%+$38.37
ATX Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Claire Liubacked Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$720.72
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Quentin Halysbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$422.17
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500.22
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+217.4%+$74.65
Putintseva vs. Jovic: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$76.03
Australian Open Men's: Jan Choinski vs Leandro Riedibacked Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Hobart International: Tatjana Maria vs Venus Williamsbacked Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Yibing Wu vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$395.24
Brisbane International, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+179.4%+$223.47
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.49per pick63cpaid-78%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+49%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$698.04
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$2,448.57
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+177.8%+$2,017.34
Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+218.4%+$1,172.89
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.92
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$287.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,221.82
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$105
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Basketball vs. Monacobacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.64
Virtus Bologna vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,192
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$379.23
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+128%+$119.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+117.4%+$21.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$57.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+40.9%+$388.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$99.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.