Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Jan Choinski vs Leandro Riedi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8c8bcef3c52e5c434e1949fd73e945ab2841501c6fea7e50c153243ad243d8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Riediof Choinski, Riedi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Choinski | 59c | 12,500$7,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,374.99 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Riedi | 41c | 4,946$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.67 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Riedi | 41c | 3,480$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.2 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Riedi | 41c | 2,312$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.83 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Riedi | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Choinski | 60c | 841.62$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.44 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Riedi | 54c | 608.15$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.4 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Choinski | 10c | 594.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Riedi | 62c | 486.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.73 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Choinski | 46c | 470.22$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Riedi | 67c | 364.96$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Riedi | 54c | 291.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Choinski | 42c | 256.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Riedi | 41c | 242$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Choinski | 49c | 204.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Choinski | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Riedi | 39c | 187.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Riedi | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Riedi | 55c | 183.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Riedi | 41c | 182.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Choinski | 7c | 166.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Riedi | 54c | 150.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Choinski | 44c | 144.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Riedi | 41c | 130$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Choinski | 48c | 124.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Riedi | 44c | 117.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Riedi | 43c | 109.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…ce2cbacked Choinski | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Choinski | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Riedi | 53c | 70.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Choinski | 45c | 68.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Choinski | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Choinski | 47c | 58.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Choinski | 50c | 50.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Riedi | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Riedi | 51c | 38.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Riedi | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Choinski | 46c | 32.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Choinski | 50c | 31.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Choinski | 41c | 31.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Choinski | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Choinski | 47c | 25.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Choinski | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Choinski | 49c | 23.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Choinski | 59c | 21.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Riedi | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…dfb9backed Riedi | 53c | 19.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Jan Choinski vs Leandro Riedithis page
- Choinski vs. Riedi: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Choinski vs. Riedi: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Choinski vs. Riedi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Choinski vs RiediRiedi won
- Set Handicap: Choinski (-1.5) vs Riedi (+1.5)Riedi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.