TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6814…4d2d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,337
Categories scored
44
Categories below 50
29

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2595.4%14 W · 245 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 259 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+2,883.3%+$1,602.12
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$91.56
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$63.95
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$19.45
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$21.22
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$75.52
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$53.73
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$63.28
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$32.99
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$35.1
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$41.47
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$68.46
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$38.92
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30.12
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$34.95
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$23.3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.45
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$144.84
Showing 25 of 259 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1430.7%1 W · 142 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-92.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.09
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.85
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.53
L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47.88
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$443.26
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$258.34
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.82
Iran strike on US military by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.35
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$201.18
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.63
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.62
Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.04
Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$663.2
Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.11
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.16
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.78
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$554.53
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.28
Odds of Khamenei out by February over 50% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.37
Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.54
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Maanshan: Uisung Park vs Chan-Yeong Ohbacked Uisung Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set 1 Winner: Virtanen vs Majchrzakbacked Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mutsumi Uemurabacked Mutsumi Uemura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.5
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$333
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+291.3%+$335
Libema Open, Qualification: Britt Du Pree vs Joanna Garlandbacked Joanna Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+252.9%+$322.5
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Petr Bar Biryukovbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+238.5%+$458
Maja Chwalinska vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+305.4%+$339
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.5
ITF Caserta: Alessandra Mazzola vs Aurora Zantedeschibacked Alessandra Mazzola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+594.4%+$856
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Jiaqi Wangbacked Jiaqi Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.5
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.36
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.78
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$184.74
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$69.9
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.07
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$74.93
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35.66
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$56.87
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT901.1%1 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick6cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.77
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.78
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.53
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.05
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.66
Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+4,268.1%+$2,253.58
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.72
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40.14
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49.19
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$332.7
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.47
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$185.8
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 390m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$380.59
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST855.9%5 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $3.20 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.52
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.13
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86.99
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$139.28
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.41
Will Solana reach $200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.26
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$240.76
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$173.44
Will Solana reach $190 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.44
Will XRP reach $3.60 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.14
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129.65
Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will XRP reach $3.00 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Will XRP reach $2.60 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.95
Will Solana reach $170 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110.82
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.13
Will Solana reach $180 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$136.02
Will XRP reach $3.40 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.14
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$517.81
Will XRP reach $2.80 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.56
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.51
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.83
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.9
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT772.6%2 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-64.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.98
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.84
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.98
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.82
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.87
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.92
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.51
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Yoon out of custody by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.89
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+952.6%+$181
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.49
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$80.61
Will Andy Burnham – Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$33.29
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will André Ventura win the second round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28.76
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 0–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$37.38
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.61
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT754%3 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-52.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.51
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.46
Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.48
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.11
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+1,253.6%+$740.9
Flying Tulip FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$182
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+970.2%+$134.91
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$56.37
Will Infinex launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$22.34
Moonbirds FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT553.6%2 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.34
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.16
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+3,210.4%+$613.62
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100.16
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.42
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.34
GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.66
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.14
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120.15
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.77
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$215.28
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.99
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$49.43
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$96.03
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$195.98
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22.3
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$678.62
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$777.67
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$209.09
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT4119.5%8 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.27
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.59
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.2
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.57
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.8
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+553.6%+$264.69
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.72
Federico Valverde: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$102.48
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+880.4%+$808.2
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.08
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.43
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.43
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST370%0 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$613.27
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.11
Will Liam Coen win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Ben Johnson win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33.71
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33.63
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$47.02
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$859.4
Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.26
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$70.54
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$979.95
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$972.83
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$730.62
Will BUF/SEA/HOU/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$129.44
Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$53.73
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$131.44
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$141.54
Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.56
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3611.1%4 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,487.3%+$936.99
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.26
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+665.2%+$1,260.5
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.5
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.75
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.89
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.57
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.58
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.11
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.7
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.79
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.2
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.1
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.3
Will Erik Spoelstra win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.13
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.54
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.3
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT340%0 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.55
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.26
Will China join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Will France join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.03
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.56
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$44.64
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$171.42
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$197.5
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$969.39
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.38
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$205.92
US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.23
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$292.61
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.33
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.12
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
Will Trump and Machado handshake last less than 2 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.81
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$105.28
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$49.96
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$55.19
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Trump say "Ass" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$171.64
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.92
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.76
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$79.65
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.41
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$33.1
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.04
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+279.7%+$331.5
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.5
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.21
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$190
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+299.6%+$114.27
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+424.3%+$290.96
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$166.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.16
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.28
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.65
LoL: Gen.G vs DRX (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25.65
All 24 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,062%+$912.63
Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.3
Will Tesla dip to $338 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26.3
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $480 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.49
Will Google dip to $300 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.61
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at <$168 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 19 above $230?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16.28
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $320?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.7
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $315?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 19 above $80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26.2
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 19 above $245?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.16
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 19 above $240?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 19 above $172?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.16
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above $435?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above $430?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT230%0 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.75
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.43
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.84
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.88
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$326.94
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$472.17
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$87.28
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$989.57
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$444.4
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$661.87
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$512.4
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.61
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$114.69
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$109.28
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,216.91
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.8
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,130.45
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT200%0 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.66
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.28
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.42
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.1
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+84.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.48
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.11
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.97
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.29
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+1,123%+$1,560.98
Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$149.78
Bill Clinton charged by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.96
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+952.6%+$181
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$108.72
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.48
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+942.6%+$352.52
All 18 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1717.6%3 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick5cpaid+140%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.57
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.46
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.22
Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$37.78
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.21
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
Will there be at least 400 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.39
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+1,110.4%+$129.6
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+1,278.1%+$723.3
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+1,392.3%+$260.7
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorganbacked Somerset · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.25
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+561.3%+$1,039.75
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$268
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.1
SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Paarl Royals (Game 1)backed Pretoria Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Adelaide Strikers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
International T20 Series: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan (Game 3)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
SA20: Joburg Super Kings vs MI Cape Town (Game 1)backed Joburg Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$70.73
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$297.31
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$94.81
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45.41
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$32.34
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+1,161.9%+$955.74
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$87.55
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$118.88
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$130.42
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$127.01
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.3m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$66.55
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$135.34
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$218.87
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.86
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Ding Cuts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.63
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9INE (BO3)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.73
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.01
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.51
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.39
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.88
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$36.27
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$148.95
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.25
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.39
Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.31
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.06
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.81
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.07
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$41.99
Will Xavi Hernandez be the next Chelsea manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.42
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$72.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.41
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.76
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.19
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.55
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick20cpaid+81.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+180.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.9
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$252.59
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+264.4%+$163.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whalesbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.