TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof G2 Esports, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$869,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$872,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $869,399 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 646 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Karmine Corp49c200,000$97,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,157.2455955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed G2 Esports51c108,041$55,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,100.7327735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed G2 Esports52c67,496$35,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,078.1451146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked G2 Esports48c47,463$22,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,975.455928.8%17 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Karmine Corp47c35,780$16,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,040.951,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp46c30,000$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,199.9891854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed G2 Esports40c27,000$10,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,699.9927637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed G2 Esports59c19,490$11,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,589.9739964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked G2 Esports51c19,000$9,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,597.622,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Karmine Corp46c16,960$7,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,181.341,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Karmine Corp43c15,897$6,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,068.7290348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed G2 Esports54c15,722$8,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,489.8464155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed G2 Esports57c15,005$8,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,501.8130845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked G2 Esports46c15,000$6,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,949.9967552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked G2 Esports2c12,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200342.9%1 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-84.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Karmine Corp46c11,625$5,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,227.518953.4%101 W · 88 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp48c11,009$5,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,755.971,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Karmine Corp74c10,683$7,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,792.071,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Karmine Corp50c10,034$5,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,017.0320546.8%96 W · 109 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed G2 Esports1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%0 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed G2 Esports63c9,699$6,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,110.657147.9%34 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Karmine Corp46c8,756$4,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,701.0959554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Karmine Corp56c8,500$4,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,750.6853355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Karmine Corp40c8,450$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,07016356.4%92 W · 71 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Karmine Corp68c7,376$5,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.2289347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G2 Esports46c7,310$3,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,341.181,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked G2 Esports52c7,124$3,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,689.8737640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed G2 Esports60c7,090$4,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,253.9938235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed G2 Esports51c6,666$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.6635448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed G2 Esports39c6,580$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.3781143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked G2 Esports34c6,527$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.842,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp61c6,501$3,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.281,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed G2 Esports52c6,057$3,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,126.8885836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd766…24e6backed Karmine Corp69c5,813$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.857256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked G2 Esports52c5,575$2,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,912.4298956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed G2 Esports38c5,387$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.372,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Karmine Corp38c5,097$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.941,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Karmine Corp39c5,085$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.5316258%94 W · 68 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked G2 Esports57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9930945.3%140 W · 169 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked G2 Esports54c4,962$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.8787844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Karmine Corp51c4,790$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.1457957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d66…7799backed G2 Esports55c4,116$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.794240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed G2 Esports6c4,050$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24313418.7%25 W · 109 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed G2 Esports1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Karmine Corp79c3,999$3,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.7544550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Karmine Corp56c3,961$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.0763546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp50c3,797$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.222,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed G2 Esports60c3,794$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.913130.5%40 W · 91 L-13.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Karmine Corp42c3,776$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176.281,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb888…9aa2backed Karmine Corp37c3,746$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.952128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Karmine Corp45c3,739$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.4567760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Karmine Corp44c3,674$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.951,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked G2 Esports1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed G2 Esports51c3,500$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7856460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Karmine Corp57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.991,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2248…bc0ebacked G2 Esports43c3,486$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50019745.2%89 W · 108 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Karmine Corp47c3,329$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.411,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed G2 Esports51c3,321$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.651,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Karmine Corp76c3,291$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.7130554.8%167 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked G2 Esports43c3,250$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.991,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed G2 Esports35c3,241$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.821,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Karmine Corp40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed G2 Esports8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24023020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Karmine Corp38c2,700$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.989938.4%38 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Karmine Corp47c2,653$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.671,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed G2 Esports62c2,594$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.4625342.7%108 W · 145 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked G2 Esports51c2,413$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.6367250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Karmine Corp35c2,409$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56649541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Karmine Corp55c2,235$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.7364247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked G2 Esports17c2,221$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.5757246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked G2 Esports52c2,198$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.7212953.5%69 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc542…beffbacked Karmine Corp59c2,187$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.236563.1%41 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…6b17backed G2 Esports31c2,144$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.218450%42 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Karmine Corp40c2,065$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.981,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Karmine Corp46c2,061$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.9458850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 Esports53c2,006$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0541,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked G2 Esports51c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01015147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed G2 Esports35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70044120%88 W · 353 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked G2 Esports53c2,000$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.8483560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed G2 Esports3c1,998$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.813560%81 W · 54 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked G2 Esports55c1,956$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0797733.8%26 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed G2 Esports58c1,900$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.2915453.9%83 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa018…48ecbacked G2 Esports51c1,883$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.331216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-66.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed G2 Esports64c1,870$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.934932.7%16 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Karmine Corp45c1,767$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.5695847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed G2 Esports54c1,750$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9451,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed G2 Esports51c1,750$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.4916155.3%89 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked G2 Esports43c1,750$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9815860.8%96 W · 62 L+12.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked G2 Esports56c1,715$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.6390537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Karmine Corp40c1,675$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00560354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Karmine Corp46c1,537$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.021,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Karmine Corp39c1,529$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.7549847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Karmine Corp46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81019959.8%119 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Karmine Corp46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8103342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9eef…803dbacked Karmine Corp68c1,476$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.2710251%52 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Karmine Corp39c1,454$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.0766947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Karmine Corp39c1,453$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.211,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Karmine Corp50c1,452$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.149549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab5…e56fbacked G2 Esports20c1,446$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.6424326.7%65 W · 178 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Karmine Corp70c1,428$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.117961.5%110 W · 69 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.