TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof G2 Esports, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,959 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Karmine Corp48c8,329$3,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,334.4890348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked G2 Esports54c8,163$4,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,388.2867552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Karmine Corp50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5001,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed G2 Esports52c6,252$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,251.087147.9%34 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Karmine Corp47c5,339$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.022142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Karmine Corp49c5,140$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.941,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked G2 Esports53c4,369$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.6959248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Karmine Corp45c4,320$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.0459554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Karmine Corp57c3,972$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.237948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed G2 Esports49c3,624$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.961,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed G2 Esports44c2,034$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.6610237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed G2 Esports50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00046257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Karmine Corp51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98032145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed G2 Esports52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked G2 Esports36c1,905$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.661,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked G2 Esports44c1,668$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.964746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked G2 Esports51c1,470$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75717647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed G2 Esports36c1,449$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.642,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Karmine Corp51c1,355$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.1519336.3%70 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed G2 Esports49c1,264$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.2341343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked Karmine Corp48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52012649.2%62 W · 64 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed G2 Esports46c972.69$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45028250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked G2 Esports50c901.72$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.8652062.3%324 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed G2 Esports38c899.98$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3441,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Karmine Corp50c887.6$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.42,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked G2 Esports50c876$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43811659.5%69 W · 47 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed G2 Esports51c836.35$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5411538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Karmine Corp65c806.68$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.2339859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked G2 Esports49c777$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.731,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Karmine Corp46c744.17$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.8529338.6%113 W · 180 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Karmine Corp46c722.96$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.496048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Karmine Corp50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35064749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Karmine Corp50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked G2 Esports50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed G2 Esports50c568$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28443640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed G2 Esports49c559.58$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.2196149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed G2 Esports54c558.05$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.351,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf19…79bbbacked G2 Esports51c514.66$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26216858.9%99 W · 69 L+18.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed G2 Esports51c400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20279745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked G2 Esports49c400$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.622,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Karmine Corp48c386.72$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0996054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed Karmine Corp54c371.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.239736.1%35 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp48c312.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8365063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed G2 Esports47c309.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.71,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked G2 Esports50c302.91$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.590537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed G2 Esports33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked G2 Esports50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011938.7%46 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked G2 Esports49c299.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9960243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…f6c5backed Karmine Corp52c285.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.853432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d12…12c0backed Karmine Corp62c283.95$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf479…2d49backed Karmine Corp53c283.58$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.582630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed G2 Esports54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15048353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed G2 Esports43c269.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.012,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed G2 Esports44c267.34$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1266445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed G2 Esports52c262.14$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3149847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Karmine Corp61c243.29$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.871,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed G2 Esports50c227.98$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9916346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x094d…5a65backed G2 Esports50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x633f…2104backed Karmine Corp51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082387%20 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Karmine Corp51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe09f…deffbacked Karmine Corp51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp51c194.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.142,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed G2 Esports51c192$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9815143.7%66 W · 85 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed G2 Esports54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c23…2f97backed Karmine Corp52c173.08$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.085234.6%18 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb52c…77abbacked Karmine Corp53c169.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.812536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked G2 Esports50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3698…7160backed G2 Esports53c146.17$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782080%16 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+36.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7547…1a38backed Karmine Corp57c108.14$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.59742.3%41 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…980abacked G2 Esports54c100.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.41850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Karmine Corp48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5248143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Karmine Corp48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5234756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed G2 Esports50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040645.6%185 W · 221 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Karmine Corp59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4150745%228 W · 279 L+1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa1c…e369backed G2 Esports51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021546%99 W · 116 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a2…86debacked G2 Esports53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509655.2%53 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8f…29b9backed G2 Esports53c93.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.597346.6%34 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Karmine Corp64c92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.791,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Karmine Corp45c89.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4923948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked G2 Esports55c89.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915536.1%56 W · 99 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Karmine Corp49c88.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.371,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed G2 Esports48c88.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.341,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ffa…9182backed Karmine Corp77c86.79$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.963100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked G2 Esports44c86.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3876047%357 W · 403 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked G2 Esports54c76.06$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.995749.1%28 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5423…8b45backed Karmine Corp45c61.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6611352.2%59 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x511d…3633backed G2 Esports41c59.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.616356.4%92 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed G2 Esports40c52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8857655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbef9…d257backed G2 Esports50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516753.3%89 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed G2 Esports51c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2537650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c4…6f4ebacked G2 Esports50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524453.3%130 W · 114 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ad…d823backed G2 Esports51c49.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258555.3%47 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+50.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Karmine Corp61c46.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.082,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00da…6afdbacked G2 Esports52c46.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0637…1636backed G2 Esports50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.59752.6%51 W · 46 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked Karmine Corp58c43.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.155650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Karmine Corp62c42.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0124251.7%125 W · 117 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed2…ad97backed G2 Esports50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b0…69eebacked G2 Esports50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Karmine Corp56c35.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.481,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.