TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd8f…29b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst Cricket at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT7346.6%34 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.81
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Deer Gaming (BO3) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked The Ruddy Sack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$17.1
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.86
LoL: L Guide Gaming vs Arneb (BO5) - LJL Playoffsbacked Arneb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+60%+$9.28
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.67
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.46
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$25.5
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.5
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.93
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.16
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$24.34
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$31.21
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.53
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.59
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT6142.6%26 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses GC vs 7VEN STARS - Map 2 Winnerbacked 7VEN STARS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.23
Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen (BO5) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$12.93
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$9.35
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+525%+$72.08
Valorant: Team Envy vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$16.68
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.92
Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.71
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports (BO5) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.72
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.38
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$34.91
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20.12
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.67
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.24
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.43
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$58.02
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$38.59
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Vitalem Aerem (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group Abacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.97
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$52.35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.55
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.48
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.98
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56%+$11.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.69
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$41.45
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.58
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.57
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.38
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27.12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.58
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.16
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Abacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.51
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.51
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Morningstar (BO3)backed Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.87
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.42
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$62.46
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Spread: Canada (-4.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Spread: Norway (-2.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$22.32
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$24.32
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$136.97
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.77
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$30.95
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$46.4
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.32
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.03
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$9.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.12
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.2
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+132.6%+$35.82
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Firebacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spiritbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
SA20: Paarl Royals vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1)backed Paarl Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.59
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.8
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
SA20: Paarl Royals vs MI Cape Town (Game 1)backed Paarl Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+163.2%+$19.63
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SA20: Joburg Super Kings vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)backed Durban's Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
SA20: Sunrisers Eastern Cape vs Paarl Royals (Game 1)backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.07
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.07
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.56
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.69
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.21
All 6 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.1%+$18.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sonay Kartal vs Sara Bejlekbacked Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.