CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5a98dcf3fb03913242d4e8fd396703efea32010b6a02fe06f15f9ef22137e0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Leo Team | 70c | 1,666$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.23 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leo Team | 70c | 842.04$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…ea01backed Lilmix | 8c | 618.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Lilmix | 30c | 488.81$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lilmix | 32c | 482.58$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Lilmix | 28c | 302.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed Lilmix | 29c | 273$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Lilmix | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Lilmix | 28c | 226.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 68c | 214$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed Lilmix | 30c | 179.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 20c | 175.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Lilmix | 27c | 131.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lilmix | 28c | 113$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lilmix | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Leo Team | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Leo Team | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Leo Team | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked Leo Team | 70c | 83.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Leo Team | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Lilmix | 32c | 71.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lilmix | 28c | 69.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…d64ebacked Lilmix | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 28c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…29b9backed Lilmix | 30c | 38.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Leo Team | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Leo Team | 72c | 16.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group CLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.