CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47178be69bb68562cf9d0a146b0122605052f21a8bb46ce7bcbe75758e685d25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed Leo Team | 55c | 3,703$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.13 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Lilmix | 45c | 3,196$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.74 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked Leo Team | 58c | 2,204$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.23 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Lilmix | 43c | 1,364$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.45 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Leo Team | 50c | 1,099$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.65 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Lilmix | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Leo Team | 64c | 851.67$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 47c | 781.94$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Lilmix | 45c | 538$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.1 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Lilmix | 41c | 482.92$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Lilmix | 43c | 421.46$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…b417backed Lilmix | 51c | 380.39$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Lilmix | 46c | 335.93$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lilmix | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.16 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Leo Team | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Lilmix | 30c | 259.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Lilmix | 45c | 241.44$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Leo Team | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Lilmix | 49c | 179.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Lilmix | 52c | 160.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Lilmix | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Lilmix | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Leo Team | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Leo Team | 55c | 89.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Lilmix | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Lilmix | 32c | 77.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…f86fbacked Lilmix | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Lilmix | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Leo Team | 47c | 45.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Lilmix | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Leo Team | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Leo Team | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Lilmix | 48c | 23.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked Leo Team | 55c | 21.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Leo Team | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group CLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.