CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d4fbbaef9e6a929c365e5e0061adca62f654e04d68df36e42556a67cd0a29df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 66c | 1,087$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.7 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lilmix | 33c | 904.19$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.82 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 14c | 546.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lilmix | 14c | 315.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Lilmix | 13c | 308.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lilmix | 14c | 245.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 13c | 229$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Lilmix | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Leo Team | 67c | 151.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lilmix | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lilmix | 10c | 149$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Lilmix | 14c | 113$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Lilmix | 34c | 100.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Lilmix | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lilmix | 18c | 96.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked Lilmix | 34c | 95.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lilmix | 13c | 82.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Leo Team | 67c | 54.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Leo Team | 66c | 37.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…cf49backed Leo Team | 69c | 32.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Leo Team | 61c | 18.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Leo Team | 61c | 16.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group CLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.