TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96db…499f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT6347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.38
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Bbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.19
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 Winnerbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ECHO (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Endless Journey - Map 1 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.38
Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs ZOTIX (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked ZOTIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs QUAZAR (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Bbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs QUAZAR - Map 1 Winnerbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.13
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-Inbacked Endless Journey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+176.3%+$21
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.01
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: Germany vs France (BO3) - Esports Nations Cup West European Qualifier Playoffsbacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$9.26
Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked EAC Rising · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Series #2 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.19
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.19
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnerbacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+70%+$8.19
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78%+$9.13
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+76%+$9.08
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$8.53
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Appeal" or "Appealed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.7
Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$23.77
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.32
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.76
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.73
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.01
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.51
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81%+$11.93
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$16.6
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$14.59
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+43%+$10.08
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$14.74
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+257%+$33.47
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.55
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$9.04
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$26.73
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$7.57
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$16.45
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+152.9%+$39.49
All 13 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.3
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.83
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Tatjana Maria vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$5.03
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.