TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Germany vs France (BO3) - Esports Nations Cup West European Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Franceof Germany, France
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,413
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,413 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0478…37c3backed Germany70c12,015$8,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,356.329952.5%52 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked France35c8,673$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,667.975652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed France29c6,500$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,614.9984958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked France43c5,275$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.436440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x920b…47d2backed Germany72c5,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6002373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Germany61c3,026$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.8741050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad1f…7f94backed France46c2,345$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.175133.3%17 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Germany55c2,200$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21075056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ad2…ec06backed Germany2c1,768$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3570%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed France29c1,750$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.2266851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Germany54c1,550$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.7824551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked France33c1,224$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.7952636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed France30c1,130$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.451,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Germany70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70037557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Germany67c982.55$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.471,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Germany20c905.59$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.692,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c7…1ed0backed France79c850$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.437100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked Germany70c781.64$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.1714971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked France38c763.33$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.2421354.5%116 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48a…ef6fbacked Germany4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Germany43c749.99$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4924447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed France66c635.85$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8540558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed France48c630.9$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.1575438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2846…267fbacked Germany4c624.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Germany58c601.25$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.563537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a73…1c47backed Germany5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8412…55f3backed France31c574.23$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.682611.5%3 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-69.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked France57c571.89$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9110457.7%60 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Germany27c563.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2426624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked France31c533.29$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.3214839.2%58 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed Germany43c533$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1917044.1%75 W · 95 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5cc…e18fbacked Germany43c523.84$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.252948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20c…f4c7backed Germany63c505.41$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3189960.6%60 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed France30c502.66$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.8664854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabea…4834backed France71c500.1$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Germany43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21594645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc221…1ed3backed Germany4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Germany47c498.39$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.512,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Germany25c491.73$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.261,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed France55c440.25$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.255048%24 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed France60c412.17$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0449143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked France51c406.5$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9575833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Germany60c405.01$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0145465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked France51c402.8$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.361,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec36…78bbbacked Germany59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.922070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Germany60c400$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.4776748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc60e…33d0backed Germany5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed France39c399.98$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.85,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Germany70c366.26$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.530247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed Germany70c335$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8527156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Germany62c328.92$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9313371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Germany51c321.34$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.219748.7%96 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed France51c312.75$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0540542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Germany45c308.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Germany73c301$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3420045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Germany73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21938954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed France66c289.19$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1412340.7%50 W · 73 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked France58c270$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.323,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…24c6backed France69c262.06$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked France49c259.24$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.363,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked France55c259$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.182,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked France58c258.16$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.182,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked France57c251.23$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.612,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda67…0b91backed Germany4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Germany72c250$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18026554.3%144 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Germany55c246.68$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6716850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e9…e1dcbacked France68c228.14$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Germany63c226.59$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6123244.8%104 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed France37c214.26$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9947054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed France30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14010441.3%43 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked France28c198.37$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.831,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed France57c197.97$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3633146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed France46c188.94$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7179951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Germany70c182.86$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12817153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9674…1302backed France69c179$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.628548.2%41 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Germany43c177.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5435848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f1…4ea8backed France28c170.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Germany47c167.25$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.042,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Germany44c166.92$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5927647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Germany62c160.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Germany71c156$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7613258.3%77 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7461…5cc5backed Germany69c154.36$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.972123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-57.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Germany21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.845238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Germany14c150$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.649242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked France30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10510561%64 W · 41 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed Germany74c148$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1352369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c47…2e55backed Germany34c147.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024047.9%115 W · 125 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed France34c137.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2443933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed France37c129.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6735141.6%146 W · 205 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed France34c128.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6425440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eca…c19cbacked Germany78c126.39$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.86757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ac…2fb7backed Germany74c124.02$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8317866.3%118 W · 60 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Germany41c123.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.132,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a3d…9488backed Germany72c121.1$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.194233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Germany34c120.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5840137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed France29c120$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.220047.5%95 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed France29c120$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.265946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Germany44c113.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed France40c110.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7788330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Germany37c106.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.463,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.