TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76c7…1ed0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-50.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.4
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.1
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.9
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Sam Kydd Baumgartner vs Adrian Kohlerbacked Sam Kydd Baumgartner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$23.6
Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Weronika Falkowska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+105%+$153.63
Targu Mures: Mia Ristic vs Darja Semenistajabacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Athens Open: Carole Monnet vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Carole Monnet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.4
ITF Maanshan: Wenfei Yu vs Yuyao Libacked Yuyao Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+115%+$160.46
Set 1 Winner: Dellien vs Schoenhausbacked Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$422.56
Counter-Strike: Germany vs France (BO3) - Esports Nations Cup West European Qualifier Playoffsbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26%+$175.43
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$156.02
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$120
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$51.2
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.9
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
All 7 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.