TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a4c…1f30backed Under55c6,050$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.998943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c3,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4005,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c1,915$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.428,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over45c1,761$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.62,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d64…26cebacked Under53c1,745$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.251838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under55c1,734$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.1711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over47c1,474$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69339047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under52c1,442$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.1655053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c1,415$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.951,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under53c1,415$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.951,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over47c1,275$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.2719248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over45c984.45$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.323,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked Over45c914.52$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.53955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c818.25$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.2312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c731.85$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.074,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over48c680.43$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.752,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over32c648.4$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.496,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27625249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under53c582.79$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.219,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Over35c532.79$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0811134.2%38 W · 73 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed Over47c476.7$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.051330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Under53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.724350.6%123 W · 120 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under53c467$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4924350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Over51c400.26$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3936440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c342$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7441051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c325.31$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.62,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Under54c320.83$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5837052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c303.24$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.728,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c302.25$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.044,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c301.85$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.856,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under54c209.84$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5392054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4437256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb431…b654backed Under57c157.37$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Under57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3566551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under54c126.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8741637.5%156 W · 260 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over39c106.41$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.51,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4863943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4537357.4%214 W · 159 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over45c95.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9323248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over45c89.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.899447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under56c85.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.71,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7512154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over37c83.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.081,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under60c83.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.434548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.335345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over53c82.06$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.86,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5886…1ab8backed Over43c80.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under55c79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.553,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e37…cfbdbacked Over43c77.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3e…ea35backed Over47c68.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Over45c60.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.088245.1%37 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over58c58.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0426752.8%141 W · 126 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over53c56.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdb6…4fe4backed Over44c56.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.753050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under53c54.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6754152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over43c52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.31,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over42c52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8423140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over47c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.122,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under53c47.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.411,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over45c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.157343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c46.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c42.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over36c38.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0923455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under53c32.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.321,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over43c30.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9427351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76c7…1ed0backed Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-50.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Under54c29.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6331650.6%160 W · 156 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc51…674abacked Over35c29.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.359752.6%51 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Under53c28.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4917250.6%87 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under59c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.385,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3a…3f70backed Under57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over46c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3982741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5625256.7%143 W · 109 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Under57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5689950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under53c24.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3251555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under53c22.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3945246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.844851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d6f…be20backed Under63c19.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3923454.7%128 W · 106 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.