MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8abddb006d028e80136fda858ba4986caf82de7ce778346dbd14ba46c324574b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 72,949$38,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,662.85 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 64,857$30,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,471.55 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 22,330$5,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,722.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 18,639$10,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,162.03 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.82 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 14,133$7,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.38 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 13,270$7,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,165.59 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 10,136$5,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,270.6 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.97 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 8,100$5,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.09 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 7,896$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.35 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 5,556$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 5,530$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 4,857$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.55 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 4,665$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.31 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 3,955$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.01 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 3,436$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 3,045$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.03 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 3,030$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.94 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…64c8backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…c703backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 2,985$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 2,962$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.28 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 2,754$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.59 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 2,226$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.35 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 2,202$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 2,093$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.45 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,950$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,395$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.4 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 1,340$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.68 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,336$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.62 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,166$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,159$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.19 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.61 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,052$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.51 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 1,016$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 984.57$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.78 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 941.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 886.27$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.47 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 816.81$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.91 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 792.87$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.14 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 769$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 734.47$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.39 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.67 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 650$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.56 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 648.38$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.64 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 631$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 627.49$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 586.96$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.28 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 559.49$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 556.13$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 549.97$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.48 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 523.24$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.48 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 512.11$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.42 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 490$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 447$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 443.36$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 441.18$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 438.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 434.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.54 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b4…2656backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 418.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.58 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 413.03$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.79 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 411.25$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…135abacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 376$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.55 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 351$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.17 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.73 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 346.24$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 326$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.04 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 317.39$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 303.53$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…fae0backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Detroit Tigers | 74c | 293.43$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 292.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 291.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 290.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.