TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0373…6d6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
296
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst Stocks at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10652.8%56 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Grambling State Tigers (-16.5)backed Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$52.54
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Northwestern State Demonsbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-12.5)backed New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$47.58
Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinals: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$148.69
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$49.56
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Youngstown State Penguinsbacked Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$65.9
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Spread: Boston Terriers (-1.5)backed Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.55
American Eagles vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Lafayette Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.5
Stanford Cardinal vs. California Golden Bearsbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-2.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$27.2
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$51.55
Spread: Stetson Hatters (-2.5)backed North Florida Ospreys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$51.46
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+117.4%+$114.94
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Chicago State Cougarsbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+170.3%+$44.1
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$47.58
Texas State Bobcats vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-10.5)backed Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$41.93
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-7.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$48.57
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$82.08
Montana State Bobcats vs. Weber State Wildcats: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$71.37
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$71.37
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Little Rock Trojans: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$61.07
Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$54.52
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT6750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.89
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$124.24
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$120
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$192.5
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$97.5
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.8
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$145.64
DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$98.34
Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+104.6%+$86.85
Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+130.7%+$13.31
Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$102.6
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+163.2%+$80.6
Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$99.79
Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.8
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$107.73
Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$49.73
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+207%+$91.03
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT5749.1%28 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Jay Clarkebacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$172.5
Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lysbacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsenbacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Jil Teichmannbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Set 1 Winner: Tauson vs Cristianbacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225.03
Hamburg European Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$503.99
Zagreb: Arthur Fery vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$53.98
Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$366.18
Oeiras 4: Vilius Gaubas vs Petr Brunclikbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Virtanen vs. Perricard: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Paris: Veronika Podrez vs Sloane Stephensbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.74
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$121.59
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.61
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$95.45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardibacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$20.41
Wuxi: Maximus Jones vs Akira Santillanbacked Akira Santillan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$53.9
Lugano: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Hugo Grenierbacked Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$34.4
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Lugano: Nerman Fatic vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34.98
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT4450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$214.52
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$450
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$416
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$286.36
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$405
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$198
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.4
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$459
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$318
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$214.28
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+70.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,467.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.