Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas State Bobcats vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82dce407a0cd8cc5407099508d3db5afe04a05601c02a9ba1b54acd8f0079381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsof Texas State Bobcats, Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Texas State Bobcats | 21c | 10,516$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.63 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 41c | 6,496$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.47 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 70c | 5,700$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Texas State Bobcats | 59c | 5,292$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.1 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Texas State Bobcats | 63c | 4,788$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.81 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texas State Bobcats | 60c | 2,640$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.54 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 39c | 1,850$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.02 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 38c | 1,163$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.91 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Texas State Bobcats | 61c | 1,010$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.08 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 37c | 984.47$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 72c | 648.82$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.34 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas State Bobcats | 60c | 647$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.08 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…7e2abacked Texas State Bobcats | 60c | 609.42$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 39c | 607.35$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.48 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…91d1backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 42c | 598.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 76c | 578.13$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.76 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 39c | 513$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.93 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas State Bobcats | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 38c | 407.89$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.89 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Texas State Bobcats | 62c | 400.51$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.32 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 38c | 293.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.88 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 39c | 273$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Texas State Bobcats | 24c | 266.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 77c | 262.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Texas State Bobcats | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 76c | 222.22$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 39c | 217.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 40c | 215.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.29 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 79c | 215.13$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas State Bobcats | 51c | 167$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 41c | 151.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 37c | 149$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Texas State Bobcats | 59c | 139.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 41c | 135.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 39c | 128.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Texas State Bobcats | 23c | 113.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Texas State Bobcats | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 78c | 95.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Texas State Bobcats | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 76c | 59.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Texas State Bobcats | 31c | 58.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 40c | 57.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Texas State Bobcats | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 38c | 56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 38c | 55.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Texas State Bobcats | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas State Bobcats | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Texas State Bobcats | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f73…1463backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…5eafbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 79c | 15.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas State Bobcats vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsthis page
- Spread: Texas State Bobcats (-2.5)Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns won
- Spread: Texas State Bobcats (-3.5)Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns won
- Texas State Bobcats vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns: O/U 134.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.