TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc1c9…cf27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
287
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST6555.4%36 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. James Madison Dukesbacked James Madison Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+43.9%+$47.11
Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-5.5)backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$44.61
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$136.59
Bucknell Bison vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$135.96
New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+80%+$174.06
UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.58
Miami Hurricanes vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$44.13
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.77
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.37
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+86%+$11.93
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$84.81
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.43
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.88
Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-6.5)backed George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.58
Washington Huskies vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. New Haven Chargersbacked New Haven Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$80.23
Spread: Grambling State Tigers (-16.5)backed Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$27.95
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+137.6%+$302.07
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Northwestern State Demonsbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
New Orleans Privateers vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$57.79
Houston Christian Huskies vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+132.6%+$23.2
Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$23.42
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.95
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST5358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$69.93
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21
UTSA vs. Colorado Statebacked UTSA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$35.34
Nevada vs. Western Kentuckybacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$20.09
Michigan vs. Nebraskabacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$39.34
UNLV vs. Miami (OH)backed UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$16.88
Arkansas vs. Memphisbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.56
Iowa vs. Rutgersbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$29.7
Tulsa vs. Oklahoma Statebacked Oklahoma State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Florida Atlantic vs. Florida Internationalbacked Florida Atlantic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Appalachian State vs. Southern Mississippibacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Minnesota vs. Californiabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Air Force vs. Utah Statebacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Florida vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$73.88
Vanderbilt vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Arkansas vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Old Dominion vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Texas Tech (-23.5)backed Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Liberty vs. Bowling Greenbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Middle Tennessee vs. Nevadabacked Nevada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Pittsburgh vs. West Virginiabacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Washington State vs. North Texasbacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Spread: Oklahoma (-23.5)backed Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Clemson vs. Georgia Techbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4566.7%30 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$295
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.94
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$101.75
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+45.4%+$90.55
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70.48
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$100.33
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$178
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$425
Spread: Cardinals (-6.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Eagles (-1.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Broncos vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+127.9%+$121.48
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$53.57
Bears vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$23.33
Jaguars vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$42.19
Browns vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+87.2%+$34.89
Seahawks vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Patriots vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$30.63
Commanders vs. Packers: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Commanders vs. Packers: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$88.1
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+90%+$328.49
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+91.5%+$53.98
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.99
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Mets vs. Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Nationals vs. Marlinsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Rays vs. White Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$20.46
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Cardinals vs. Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$33.14
Nationals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Twins vs. Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Brewers vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Nationals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+70.7%+$30.05
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Geoff Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$22.9
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Josiah Harrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$20.84
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Idiris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$20.69
UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.2
UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)backed del Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Noche UFC: Font vs. Martinezbacked Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Noche UFC: Garcia vs. Gordonbacked Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Noche UFC: Gastelum vs. Stoltzfusbacked Gastelum · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$17.39
Noche UFC: Hernandez vs. Ferreirabacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Noche UFC: Luna vs. Lebacked Le · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Noche UFC: Puelles vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Noche UFC: Aguilar vs. Gurulebacked Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Noche UFC: Costa vs. Coriabacked Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Noche UFC: Sezinando vs. Donchenkobacked Donchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$17.24
Guarascio vs. Asplundbacked Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Franco vs. Vidalbacked Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Blair vs. Sanchesbacked Sanches · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Dyer vs. Forobacked Dyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
UFC Fight Night: Gomis vs. Ruchałabacked Gomis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. Bryczekbacked Tavares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST3243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$127.95
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.28
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+113%+$42.36
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$23.49
Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.55
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$61.41
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$25.11
76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+70.8%+$47.48
Celtics vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+36.6%+$12.8
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.15
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.68
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.77
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$43.24
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.46
Aces vs. Stormbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$278.69
Valkyries vs. Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+44.7%+$33.51
Lynx vs. Feverbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Mercury vs. Sparksbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$44.73
Fever vs. Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+25%+$26.78
Valkyries vs. Wingsbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+81.7%+$40.85
Aces vs. Mysticsbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Lynx vs Feverbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$164.69
Mercury vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$44.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+50.4%+$45.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.