TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Vanderbilt vs. South Carolina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vanderbiltof Vanderbilt, South Carolina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae81…aafbbacked Vanderbilt60c25,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked South Carolina50c15,480$7,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,736.3268440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed South Carolina40c13,626$5,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,450.4786243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Vanderbilt39c5,779$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,523.4940549.4%200 W · 205 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed South Carolina40c4,627$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.8664841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked South Carolina57c3,456$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.7437749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Vanderbilt39c2,500$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.9219120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Vanderbilt41c2,307$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.91643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed South Carolina59c1,690$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9996855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked South Carolina60c1,442$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8653256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Vanderbilt67c1,174$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.2623751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Vanderbilt38c1,138$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.3550358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Vanderbilt40c1,095$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.511,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed1f…afd7backed South Carolina36c1,074$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Vanderbilt43c932.98$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.9817946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbba…d41ebacked South Carolina63c838.18$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.21741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8e…0f12backed South Carolina55c826.19$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.692259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked South Carolina59c779$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.6115751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…2d5fbacked South Carolina69c776.58$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa526…8d8dbacked Vanderbilt42c775.67$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Vanderbilt77c760.9$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.542665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed South Carolina59c554.24$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3272951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Vanderbilt55c542.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.185954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed South Carolina56c535.91$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed South Carolina58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29013531.9%43 W · 92 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed South Carolina45c464.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1655350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Vanderbilt69c462.17$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0934529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Vanderbilt42c444$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.67650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed South Carolina58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2324942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Vanderbilt43c381.58$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7485947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Vanderbilt62c341$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5849443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed South Carolina63c296$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.48825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked South Carolina60c250$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.55453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55fe…6fc7backed Vanderbilt43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f7…b17abacked South Carolina39c220.59$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878845.5%40 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed South Carolina14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c9…cf27backed South Carolina61c204.92$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked South Carolina29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.211844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Vanderbilt40c179$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.481847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed South Carolina56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005251.9%27 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed South Carolina59c171.19$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10114836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed South Carolina44c169.42$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.245844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…5d2cbacked South Carolina60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked South Carolina22c151$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5257144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Vanderbilt35c140$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9113452.2%70 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9733…7deebacked Vanderbilt43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c2…1193backed South Carolina67c119.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1197…40bfbacked Vanderbilt42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.051764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed South Carolina63c119.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756764.2%43 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe065…d1debacked South Carolina35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7594…0d7fbacked South Carolina67c107.46$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-42%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Vanderbilt43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5747331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5441…da3bbacked South Carolina60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed South Carolina60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked South Carolina10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked South Carolina59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596924.6%17 W · 52 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vanderbilt40c99.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5362843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Vanderbilt41c92.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.697241.7%30 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4417…8d57backed South Carolina58c85.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Vanderbilt67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2830548.9%149 W · 156 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Vanderbilt75c77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2526750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c45…19cbbacked South Carolina67c70.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…99debacked Vanderbilt36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.441855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe36e…a46cbacked South Carolina59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x355c…e6d4backed South Carolina59c65.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7110347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Vanderbilt42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2918338.8%71 W · 112 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0d3…8743backed Vanderbilt43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Vanderbilt40c43.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.258041.3%33 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52e0…5bc0backed South Carolina59c42.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1242…8dfebacked Vanderbilt70c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.813287.5%28 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed South Carolina60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512857%73 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd4f…d43abacked Vanderbilt42c41.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Vanderbilt41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7117634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22d1…45afbacked South Carolina60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63ce…7d28backed South Carolina67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb579…f458backed Vanderbilt42c26.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1912641.3%52 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed South Carolina59c25.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.174656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf926…4d3cbacked South Carolina60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344d…1278backed South Carolina60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c73…2759backed South Carolina60c17.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.471040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa7d…2db8backed South Carolina65c16.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.