College Football · resolved market
Spread: South Carolina (-3.0)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeabe67fa4194acd08002df5c5828c7dddfae0692052650f4d028ce4224b8fe3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vanderbiltof South Carolina, Vanderbilt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked South Carolina | 51c | 23,317$11,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,863.19 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…8d8dbacked Vanderbilt | 49c | 8,531$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Vanderbilt | 49c | 7,062$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.75 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Vanderbilt | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Vanderbilt | 49c | 3,265$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.15 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…0d16backed South Carolina | 54c | 369.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Vanderbilt | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Vanderbilt | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Vanderbilt | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Vanderbilt | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Vanderbilt | 46c | 82.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed South Carolina | 55c | 74.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed South Carolina | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Vanderbilt | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed South Carolina | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Carolina (-3.0)this page
- Vanderbilt vs. South CarolinaVanderbilt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.