TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x02c7…3df7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
956
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: College Football, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST55152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 551 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+354.5%+$354.55
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.41
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$31.07
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.69
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7.54
Colorado Rockies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.14
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$20.35
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$39.46
Rays vs. White Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.87
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.13
Reds vs. Padresbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+79.3%+$11.9
Showing 25 of 551 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT12857%73 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
BYU vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.12
Oregon vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.37
San Jose State vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+187.4%+$56.22
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Kentucky vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.25
Washington State vs. Colorado Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Memphis vs. Florida Atlanticbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$20.32
Virginia Tech vs. NC Statebacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+123.5%+$56.04
Tennessee vs. Mississippi Statebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$19.66
LSU vs. Ole Missbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Auburn vs. Texas A&Mbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.46
California vs. Boston Collegebacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+34.8%+$45.25
Rice vs. Navybacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.77
Ohio State vs. Washingtonbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
USC vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Notre Dame vs. Arkansasbacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
TCU vs. Arizona Statebacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Florida State vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+48.3%+$75.93
Army vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Fresno State vs. Hawai'ibacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
UTSA vs. Colorado Statebacked UTSA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Florida vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Arizona State vs. Baylorbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Illinois vs. Indianabacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.87
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT9547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.68
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$13.22
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.94
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.39
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.05
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+198.3%+$105.05
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+93%+$28.83
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.98
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.6
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$25.93
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$29
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT8353%44 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$19.56
Spread: Bills (-8.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.91
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$50.87
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jaguars vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Colts vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Titans vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$36.76
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$233.21
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Cowboys vs. Bearsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Saints vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Jets vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Raiders vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Packers vs. Brownsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Colts vs. Titansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Steelers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.37
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: BUF (-13.5)backed BUF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.75
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT4141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.82
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.75
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.79
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+78.9%+$53.82
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.92
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.64
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$13
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$16.87
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$26.86
Over 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.41
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
Over 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.1
Over 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$90.59
Over 203.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$11.75
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.38
Over 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Over 202.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+101.9%+$38.16
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$16.87
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.22
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.39
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-68.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.92
Will Trump resign today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.49
Trump claims largest inauguration crowd ever?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+111%+$33.29
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump issue 10-14 executive orders on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.69
Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$462.97
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$888.56
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.55
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$9.57
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Brighton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.47
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.94
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.96
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$28.46
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+71.2%+$46.1
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.58
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.31
All 13 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+425.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+165%+$41.24
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+156.6%+$31.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+900%+$498.15
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$113.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pafos FC win on 2025-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$8.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tommy Paul win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$49.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.