College Football · resolved market
Virginia Tech vs. NC State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f382d62f4757a8832f637f239904fb39c8d495e33c0726e914beb830c7e7e35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Techof Virginia Tech, NC State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked NC State | 76c | 13,617$10,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,369.41 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Virginia Tech | 24c | 12,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NC State | 51c | 4,713$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.79 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed NC State | 49c | 3,679$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.34 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed NC State | 50c | 2,612$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.21 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Virginia Tech | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.98 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Virginia Tech | 67c | 1,655$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.96 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Virginia Tech | 22c | 1,545$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.1 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Virginia Tech | 24c | 1,230$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.8 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked NC State | 40c | 1,220$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.77 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed NC State | 77c | 1,043$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.66 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked NC State | 38c | 1,040$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.63 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Virginia Tech | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Virginia Tech | 40c | 941.03$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.81 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed NC State | 24c | 930.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.35 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Virginia Tech | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Virginia Tech | 23c | 767.47$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.95 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0543…a6a5backed Virginia Tech | 72c | 650$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked NC State | 77c | 627.17$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.93 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Virginia Tech | 23c | 529.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.16 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked NC State | 77c | 509$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.93 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked NC State | 10c | 475$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virginia Tech | 53c | 388$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed NC State | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Virginia Tech | 62c | 332.33$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed NC State | 58c | 306$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Virginia Tech | 23c | 285$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.45 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f52…38c8backed Virginia Tech | 41c | 245.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Virginia Tech | 24c | 210$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed NC State | 76c | 210$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…97b8backed Virginia Tech | 74c | 136.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Virginia Tech | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed NC State | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech | 23c | 124$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Virginia Tech | 45c | 101.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Virginia Tech | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked NC State | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked NC State | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed NC State | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Virginia Tech | 23c | 99.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Virginia Tech | 69c | 95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…86f8backed Virginia Tech | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed NC State | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…ed94backed Virginia Tech | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +35%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Virginia Tech | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dc…8bc3backed NC State | 77c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked NC State | 76c | 39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…672ebacked NC State | 76c | 29.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed NC State | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed NC State | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked NC State | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed NC State | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia Tech vs. NC Statethis page
- O/U 57.5Under won
- Spread: NC State (-10.5)Virginia Tech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.