TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb02f…0673

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Golf, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Navy vs. Templebacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
Northwestern vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Iowa State vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$55.42
Northern Illinois vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.77
Louisiana vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Pittsburgh vs. Florida Statebacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
Alabama vs. Missouribacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
UCLA vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.5
South Florida vs. North Texas: O/U 68.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$162
Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$325
Minnesota vs. Ohio State: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$260
Spread: Alabama (-10.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$239.91
Penn State vs. UCLAbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Spread: Virginia Tech (-6.5)backed Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$240
Spread: Cincinnati (-1.5)backed Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Spread: Georgia (-20.5)backed Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$311.31
O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Western Kentucky vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$121
Virginia Tech vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Tennessee vs. Mississippi Statebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.78
Spread: Ohio State (-8.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Georgia Tech vs. Wake Forestbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$72
USC vs. Illinoisbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.5
Louisville vs. Pittsburghbacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+300%+$75
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
49ers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$269.04
Bengals vs. Packers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$245
Spread: Packers (-14.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$104
Seahawks vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$245
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Cowboys vs. Panthers: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$265
Rams vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$245
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$230
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$180
Spread: Cardinals (-7.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$244.99
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.98
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Giants vs. Saints: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
Texans vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$235
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Jaguars vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.5
Colts vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+102.7%+$304
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$220
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Titans vs. Texansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$481.39
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.8
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$220
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$185
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.27
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$208
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.5
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+400%+$400
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Royals vs. White Soxbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Braves vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$76
Phillies vs. Piratesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.8
Diamondbacks vs. Redsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$153
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$216.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-76.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick20cpaid+158.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$360
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$287.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$327.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+25%+$69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,968.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.