NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8d3f23519625233f5264153be9845cd297625e35827eb88e2f73bf660aecf95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $389,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 634 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 66,041$39,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,610.52 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Red Wings | 40c | 35,888$14,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,532.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 35,010$21,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,156.1 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 28,914$17,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,252.5 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec65…cf87backed Red Wings | 40c | 27,083$10,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,249.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,250 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 44c | 23,034$10,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,863.24 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Red Wings | 40c | 21,119$8,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,671.65 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 18,684$11,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,397.4 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Red Wings | 39c | 14,500$5,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,845 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 12,167$7,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,178.3 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Red Wings | 39c | 12,053$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,352.4 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 10,400$6,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,344 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Wings | 39c | 9,061$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,527.21 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 8c | 6,991$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.26 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Red Wings | 38c | 4,550$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings | 39c | 4,444$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.84 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…e906backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 4,300$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 3,959$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Maple Leafs | 13c | 3,495$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 3,460$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.6 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 3,418$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.32 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 3,000$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.02 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 2,804$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.32 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 2,637$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.89 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 2,630$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.55 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 2,241$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Red Wings | 40c | 2,234$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.4 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…3f8bbacked Red Wings | 39c | 2,150$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8b…8f61backed Red Wings | 40c | 2,150$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,992$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 66c | 1,954$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.38 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Red Wings | 39c | 1,750$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.5 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings | 64c | 1,671$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.47 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…6e75backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,477$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4140…0272backed Red Wings | 39c | 1,477$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,452$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.22 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Red Wings | 40c | 1,425$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.15 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,419$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.82 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs | 11c | 1,417$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,299$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.67 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,282$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.92 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Red Wings | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,223$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.13 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,220$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,127$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Red Wings | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.56 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 22c | 1,091$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.44 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Red Wings | 46c | 1,069$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.2 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,010$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.9 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Maple Leafs | 18c | 999.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 995$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Red Wings | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda4…e18abacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 823.18$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Red Wings | 39c | 820.17$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.3 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 819.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 802$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.24 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 777.59$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 766$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 750$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 600$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 550$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Red Wings | 78c | 511.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Red Wings | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Red Wings | 43c | 480$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.9 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 466.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 443$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.66 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 432.82$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.12 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Red Wings | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 47c | 343.15$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 340.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 336.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Red Wings | 40c | 336.07$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 321.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf313…383ebacked Red Wings | 78c | 312.03$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 39c | 308.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.2 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde50…cf46backed Red Wings | 39c | 294.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3699…4ac4backed Red Wings | 38c | 289.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 286.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 275.65$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.39 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Red Wings | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Red Wings | 60c | 255.6$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Red Wings | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Maple Leafs | 13c | 233$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Red Wings | 40c | 225.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…e9c4backed Red Wings | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 210$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…22adbacked Red Wings | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…f03cbacked Red Wings | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…5f91backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.