TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb7c…8eab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
549
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST13652.2%71 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kenneth Walker III: First Touchdownbacked Kenneth Walker III · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$384.31
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.4%+$154.05
1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$245.45
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$378.15
Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H Moneylinebacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.8%+$266.53
TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$257.58
Patriots vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Colston Loveland: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Davante Adams: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Christian Kirk: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+233.3%+$140
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Jauan Jennings: Receiving Yards O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$244.44
1H Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$266.67
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$501.6
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$96.04
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$309.72
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Colombia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.13
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT11245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$301.75
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$215.85
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$431.71
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$312.24
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+145.2%+$798.85
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$176.09
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT8843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$331.4
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$249.8
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.18
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+108%+$162.01
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$405.56
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$156.12
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT5945.8%27 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$596.3
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$268.54
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$325
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$161.67
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$183.33
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$196.43
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$244.74
Will 14+ Home Runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$752.38
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$260.2
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$470.78
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.92
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.66
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$245.99
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$413.66
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.2
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Nikita Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$325
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Michael Chandler win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$221.52
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$225
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+275.9%+$275.93
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+203%+$487.27
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$98.18
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$60
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$138.1
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.6%+$95.19
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Arizona State vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
LSU vs. Alabamabacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Arizona vs. Coloradobacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$225
Iowa State vs. Coloradobacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Oregon vs. Penn Statebacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+103.7%+$207.41
Wyoming vs. Colorado: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
Oregon vs. Northwestern: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.61
Colorado vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$283.97
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.