TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Kenneth Walker III: First Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
No Touchdownof Kenneth Walker III, No Touchdown
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,158 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No Touchdown78c3,112$2,428 inWon+$684.783147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9abf…3d6abacked Kenneth Walker III28c700$196 inLost-$195.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Kenneth Walker III22c681.82$150 inLost-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-34.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No Touchdown75c534$401 inWon+$133.55261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ebe…9e6dbacked Kenneth Walker III21c507.92$107 inLost-$106.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Kenneth Walker III22c455.05$100 inLost-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-63.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Kenneth Walker III22c454.55$100 inLost-$1008130.9%25 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc99…a6f9backed Kenneth Walker III25c400$100 inLost-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No Touchdown78c386.36$301 inWon+$8541540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No Touchdown76c330.46$250 inWon+$80.0827644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Kenneth Walker III22c272.98$60 inLost-$606251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Kenneth Walker III22c272.73$60 inLost-$6013652.2%71 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1b…afbfbacked Kenneth Walker III22c227.27$50 inLost-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Kenneth Walker III23c217.39$50 inLost-$507041.4%29 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Kenneth Walker III11c200$21 inLost-$2127835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Kenneth Walker III22c181.82$40 inLost-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No Touchdown77c139.57$108 inWon+$31.763658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No Touchdown72c136$99 inWon+$37.4320757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c0f…f4e1backed No Touchdown75c135.53$101 inWon+$34.141070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No Touchdown75c122$92 inWon+$30.2848847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1d…6c0bbacked No Touchdown69c103$71 inWon+$31.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Kenneth Walker III22c95.45$21 inLost-$2140%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No Touchdown78c90.91$71 inWon+$204671.7%33 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52e4…1a80backed Kenneth Walker III22c90.91$20 inLost-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Kenneth Walker III21c90$19 inLost-$18.9540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be6…436ebacked Kenneth Walker III24c84.58$20 inLost-$202638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Kenneth Walker III22c60$13 inLost-$13.2944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55c6…c338backed Kenneth Walker III29c59.61$17 inLost-$17.171216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No Touchdown72c53.61$39 inWon+$15.013852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc34…bd10backed Kenneth Walker III28c53.61$15 inLost-$15.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Kenneth Walker III22c50$11 inLost-$1137556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80c9…0a29backed Kenneth Walker III25c50$13 inLost-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Kenneth Walker III26c50$13 inLost-$1331032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7b…4229backed No Touchdown78c49.99$39 inWon+$10.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ce…5545backed Kenneth Walker III25c40$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d46…bd57backed Kenneth Walker III25c40$10 inLost-$1070%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.