TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Cooper Kupp: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,954 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Under43c5,055$2,174 inLost-$2,173.648164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over57c4,732$2,697 inWon+$2,034.783147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under43c500$215 inLost-$2153655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Under40c468.59$188 inLost-$188.2910346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over57c277.06$158 inWon+$119.1419651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over57c194.3$111 inWon+$83.553850%19 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72ea…ab9dbacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon+$63.934346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52e4…1a80backed Over59c101.69$60 inWon+$41.691435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over57c89.47$51 inWon+$38.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaded…6fa0backed Over57c70.18$40 inWon+$30.18825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1068…cdbcbacked Over58c68.97$40 inWon+$28.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+184.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e98…b2a4backed Over57c52$30 inWon+$22.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under38c42.81$16 inLost-$16.3113065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0cb9…e983backed Over61c40.98$25 inWon+$15.983231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…4968backed Over57c35.42$20 inWon+$15.231020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-64.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74ed…112bbacked Over57c35.02$20 inWon+$15.021942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+42.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be6…436ebacked Over57c34.83$20 inWon+$14.832638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…8742backed Over61c33.2$20 inWon+$12.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under43c23.51$10 inLost-$10.115679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.