NFL · resolved market
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0176e4e1c6c8b89bd4eb9346c10c5afed87e482d78a79f0e8e16a6bc984d414a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 41c | 5,688$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.13 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 3,256$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.2 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 59c | 3,113$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.79 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Under | 60c | 2,506$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.6 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…363dbacked Under | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 58c | 1,376$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.46 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 41c | 917.77$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.28 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 41c | 740$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…2591backed Under | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 60c | 555$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 59c | 487.77$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.79 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 42c | 487.19$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 40c | 483$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 42c | 376.26$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Under | 60c | 334.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 55c | 326.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.87 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 43c | 313.65$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Under | 59c | 310.17$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…76bdbacked Over | 41c | 296.18$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Over | 43c | 242.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 59c | 210.45$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 59c | 171.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Over | 40c | 160.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Under | 60c | 135.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…6577backed Under | 60c | 129.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…8d82backed Under | 60c | 100.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 38c | 95.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 56c | 82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Under | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…6f99backed Under | 60c | 77.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Over | 41c | 72.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 60c | 53.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Under | 63c | 52.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…a6afbacked Under | 59c | 49.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 63c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 40c | 40.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 41c | 26.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…46edbacked Over | 42c | 26.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c60…d2a8backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…7a1ebacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Under | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Seahawks won
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Seahawks won
- AJ Barner: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- AJ Barner: First TouchdownAJ Barner won
- AJ Barner: Rushing Yards O/U 0.5Under won
- Cooper Kupp: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Cooper Kupp: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Cooper Kupp: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Hunter Henry: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Hunter Henry: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Hunter Henry: Receiving Yards O/U 37.5Under won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5Under won
- Kayshon Boutte: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kayshon Boutte: Receiving Yards O/U 0.5Over won
- Kenneth Walker III: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kenneth Walker III: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Kenneth Walker III: Receiving Yards O/U 101.5Under won
- Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5Over won
- Mack Hollins: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Mack Hollins: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Mack Hollins: Receiving Yards O/U 28.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 10.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 15.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 16.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 17.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 20.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 21.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 29.5Under won
- Rashid Shaheed: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Rashid Shaheed: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rashid Shaheed: Receiving Yards O/U 22.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Receiving Yards O/U 20.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 56.5Under won
- Sam Darnold: Rushing Yards O/U 239.5Under won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 17.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 25.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 26.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 27.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 29.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 30.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 31.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 32.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 35.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.