TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbdc…6f99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.99
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.18
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.49
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.27
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$158.55
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$111.49
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$57.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+54.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.66
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.79
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
All 4 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+67%+$31.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bilbao Basket vs. Basquet Gironabacked Basquet Girona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.