TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof MIBR, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,162,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,264,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,162,827 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 631 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Legacy66c240,000$158,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,999.9914050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked MIBR34c215,422$73,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,243.5242440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed MIBR35c126,947$44,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,242.6315947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Legacy65c79,287$51,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,653.333043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed MIBR35c70,662$24,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,753.6323839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Legacy65c60,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,999.9541649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Legacy78c52,648$41,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,548.5625355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Legacy64c46,141$29,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,610.87363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked MIBR22c44,646$10,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,024.5321251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MIBR35c35,701$12,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,495.3776058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed MIBR35c30,597$10,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,708.826147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Legacy65c30,000$19,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,549.9772453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked MIBR20c25,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9822354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Legacy64c25,000$16,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,899.8916245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed MIBR24c24,201$5,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,872.410935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Legacy66c21,500$14,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,4058043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Legacy65c20,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00019757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy66c18,902$12,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,405.555,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9c…34d9backed Legacy65c18,384$12,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,348.52759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Legacy78c15,834$12,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,410.4364552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked MIBR26c15,238$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0009232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Legacy62c15,000$9,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,713.459248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR30c15,000$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,55050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x888b…5d1abacked MIBR35c12,886$4,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,510.112626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed MIBR35c11,663$4,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,082.0420448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Legacy65c11,388$7,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,985.922152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed MIBR22c10,273$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,26012449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed MIBR35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9837157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Legacy71c9,960$7,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.343,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Legacy79c9,773$7,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.3725655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Legacy65c9,616$6,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3192,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked MIBR35c8,596$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf481…0325backed MIBR36c8,116$2,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,921.5830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd302…3c8fbacked Legacy64c7,731$4,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,792.691764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+52.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Legacy65c7,684$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.6533359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed MIBR18c6,550$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.9131345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked MIBR28c6,132$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.4335940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Legacy65c6,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked MIBR36c5,833$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10027452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked MIBR36c5,816$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.9846165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked MIBR17c5,797$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Legacy66c5,500$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8702356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Legacy56c5,299$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.216949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Legacy64c5,171$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.6375652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Legacy73c5,033$3,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.394,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy62c5,017$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.771,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Legacy66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed Legacy65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7504542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed Legacy66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7003250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Legacy65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked MIBR34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.983262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked MIBR35c4,740$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65938358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked MIBR35c4,489$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.0410635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed MIBR36c4,000$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed MIBR35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40018547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Legacy65c3,611$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.852,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…aea3backed MIBR19c3,505$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.631346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed MIBR34c3,500$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.9711434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed MIBR8c3,440$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28856738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed MIBR35c3,406$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.1513850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed MIBR34c3,348$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.1513244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Legacy68c3,189$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.2487047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Legacy79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63098052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed MIBR34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9917045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked MIBR28c2,946$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.2129127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Legacy65c2,920$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02217948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Legacy76c2,907$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.581,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed MIBR38c2,851$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.3812154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed MIBR26c2,600$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.9918338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb676…3303backed MIBR39c2,578$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.653043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed Legacy78c2,500$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9912253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed MIBR30c2,496$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.8824339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR33c2,478$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.046,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed MIBR36c2,438$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.6825248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked MIBR21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed MIBR21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014242.3%60 W · 82 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Legacy65c2,307$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.4460248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked MIBR35c2,269$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79425261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MIBR34c2,250$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.471,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed MIBR32c2,245$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.8296545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71c…20b3backed MIBR23c2,131$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.6910339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Legacy65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70015264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Legacy49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.999454.3%51 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed MIBR24c1,824$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.9614145.4%64 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked MIBR35c1,814$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63532542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed MIBR35c1,811$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.8432732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed Legacy59c1,750$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.9824262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Legacy65c1,663$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.8527552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed MIBR13c1,600$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9922740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Legacy65c1,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56025145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed MIBR26c1,558$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41220059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Legacy65c1,540$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53917460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Legacy65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.345639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Legacy65c1,531$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.192,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed MIBR28c1,500$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41446340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Legacy65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52520249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed MIBR34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed MIBR21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31554732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MIBR20c1,485$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.344,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Legacy66c1,445$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.4539157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.